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Predicting the Prospects of New Zealand Politicians
Predicting the Prospects of New Zealand Politicians
August 16, 2026
An analysis of the party lists of New Zealand's major parties by their chance of electoral success, featuring lots and lots of guessing and more detail than you ever needed on the results of the 2023 general election.

The Cowboy Teals
The Cowboy Teals
August 3, 2026
After Dan Osborn's run in 2024, a number of independents in the American West are running for Senate. Can their candidacies succeed, and what does it symbolise for Democratic parties in red states?

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