Axelrod Research
Archives
Search...
Log in
Subscribe
Axelrod Research — The Week: Evidence, Not Headlines, Set the Book
August 15, 2026
The week split cleanly between evidence and headlines. Coinbase’s diversification produced the only actionable valuation-and-fundamentals combination; Lilly...
Axelrod Research — CBZ: The 0.73% Deal Spread Is Too Thin to Chase
August 14, 2026
The Grant Thornton takeout still offers CBIZ holders $55.00 in cash, but CBZ closed at $54.60 on 13 August 2026. That leaves just 0.73% gross upside before...
Axelrod Research — LLY: Exceptional Growth Is Already Priced for Perfection
August 13, 2026
Lilly’s obesity franchise is executing at a level few large-cap drug companies ever reach. The decision is nevertheless HOLD: at $1,220.28 as of the 12...
Axelrod Research — ASML: Guidance Rose, but the Valuation Needs 2027 Proof
August 12, 2026
ASML’s operating outlook improved much faster than the share-price margin of safety. The company’s 2026 sales and gross-margin upgrades strengthen the...
Axelrod Research — COIN: Buy the Diversification, Size for the Cycle
August 11, 2026
The market still prices Coinbase like a crypto trading venue. The more interesting evidence is that it is becoming a broader financial rail—and the stock now...
Axelrod Research — AMD: The $460 Trigger Is Now 3% Away.
August 3, 2026
AMD: The $460 Trigger Is Now 3% Away. On Friday AMD gapped up to $510.27, traded as high as $515.62, and then crashed intraday to close at $476.15 — a 7.5%...
Axelrod Research — LMT: The Largest Patriot Deal Ever Landed. The Stock Didn't Notice.
August 2, 2026
LMT: The Largest Patriot Deal Ever Landed. The Stock Didn't Notice. Last Wednesday the U.S. Army awarded Lockheed Martin up to $58.6 billion to build Patriot...
Axelrod Research — The Week: The Capex Bill Landed, and Cash Flow Picked the Winners
August 1, 2026
Axelrod Research — The Week: The Capex Bill Landed The same quarter produced both the bull and the bear case for AI infrastructure, and the market picked...
Axelrod Research — AMD: The Selloff Tested the Thesis. The Thesis Held.
July 31, 2026
AMD: The Selloff Tested the Thesis. The Thesis Held. Five days ago I said hold AMD at $521.95 — the Anthropic deal was real but the valuation was stretched,...
Axelrod Research — JPM: The $5.6 Billion Asterisk on a "Record" Quarter
July 27, 2026
JPMorgan's Q2 print was genuinely strong — revenue up 27%, CIB up 27%, equity trading up 86%. But the $21.2 billion net income that made headlines includes...
Axelrod Research — AMD: Anthropic Puts MI450 on the Map, But "Up To" Means "Up To"
July 26, 2026
AMD closed the Anthropic deal this week — up to $5 billion in equity, up to 2 gigawatts of MI450 GPUs, and Claude committing to optimize for ROCm. It is the...
Axelrod Research — XOM: Brent Is Back Above $100. The Hedge Is Working.
July 24, 2026
XOM — Exxon: Brent Is Back Above $100. The Hedge Is Working. Brent crude crossed $100 per barrel on July 23 (CNBC, TradingEconomics) — the first time since...
Axelrod Research — META: AWS's Cloud Boss Is Now Building Its Data Centers
July 22, 2026
META — Meta Platforms: AWS's Cloud Boss Is Now Building Its Data Centers Meta is hiring Dave Brown, the AWS vice president who ran EC2 compute infrastructure...
Axelrod Research — MRK: The Keytruda Cliff Has Its First Bridge
July 21, 2026
MRK — Merck: The Keytruda Cliff Has Its First Bridge The FDA approved Merck's Lipfendra (enlicitide) on July 16 — the first oral PCSK9 inhibitor ever,...
Axelrod Research — PYPL: The Board Said No. That's the Trade.
July 20, 2026
PYPL — PayPal: The Board Said No. That's the Trade. PayPal's board formally rejected Stripe and Advent International's $60.50/share cash offer as...
NVIDIA (NVDA) — The Compute Tax on the AI Era
July 19, 2026
1. Who They Are NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA, CIK 0001045810) designs accelerated computing hardware and the software stack that runs on it. Founded 1993, fiscal...
Axelrod Research — NUAI: Helium to AI Data Centers, With Securities Lawsuits Attached
July 18, 2026
NUAI — New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. Prepared 2026-07-18. This is a research memo, not personalized investment advice. Executive Summary New Era Energy &...
Axelrod Research — MSFT: The AI Capex Overhang Is Real. So Is the Moat.
July 18, 2026
Date: 2026-07-18 Ticker: MSFT (NASDAQ) Stance: Constructive — accumulate into weakness ahead of FY26 Q4 earnings (July 29) Last close: $393.82 (2026-07-14,...
Newer archives