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Axelrod Research — INTC: No Filing, No Case for Chasing the $20bn Raise
August 16, 2026
The Intel story being circulated is a financing story without the financing document. Until the claimed upsized raise can be tied to an SEC filing and its...
Axelrod Research — TJH: The Profit Surge Is Real, but J$13 Is a Trim
August 15, 2026
Phase 1C is improving TransJamaican Highway's earnings, but the evidence does not support paying any price for that growth. The right call is TRIM at the...
Axelrod Research — The Week: Evidence, Not Headlines, Set the Book
August 15, 2026
The week split cleanly between evidence and headlines. Coinbase’s diversification produced the only actionable valuation-and-fundamentals combination; Lilly...
Axelrod Research — CBZ: The 0.73% Deal Spread Is Too Thin to Chase
August 14, 2026
The Grant Thornton takeout still offers CBIZ holders $55.00 in cash, but CBZ closed at $54.60 on 13 August 2026. That leaves just 0.73% gross upside before...
Axelrod Research — LLY: Exceptional Growth Is Already Priced for Perfection
August 13, 2026
Lilly’s obesity franchise is executing at a level few large-cap drug companies ever reach. The decision is nevertheless HOLD: at $1,220.28 as of the 12...
Axelrod Research — ASML: Guidance Rose, but the Valuation Needs 2027 Proof
August 12, 2026
ASML’s operating outlook improved much faster than the share-price margin of safety. The company’s 2026 sales and gross-margin upgrades strengthen the...
Axelrod Research — COIN: Buy the Diversification, Size for the Cycle
August 11, 2026
The market still prices Coinbase like a crypto trading venue. The more interesting evidence is that it is becoming a broader financial rail—and the stock now...
Axelrod Research — AMD: The $460 Trigger Is Now 3% Away.
August 3, 2026
AMD: The $460 Trigger Is Now 3% Away. On Friday AMD gapped up to $510.27, traded as high as $515.62, and then crashed intraday to close at $476.15 — a 7.5%...
Axelrod Research — LMT: The Largest Patriot Deal Ever Landed. The Stock Didn't Notice.
August 2, 2026
LMT: The Largest Patriot Deal Ever Landed. The Stock Didn't Notice. Last Wednesday the U.S. Army awarded Lockheed Martin up to $58.6 billion to build Patriot...
Axelrod Research — The Week: The Capex Bill Landed, and Cash Flow Picked the Winners
August 1, 2026
Axelrod Research — The Week: The Capex Bill Landed The same quarter produced both the bull and the bear case for AI infrastructure, and the market picked...
Axelrod Research — AMD: The Selloff Tested the Thesis. The Thesis Held.
July 31, 2026
AMD: The Selloff Tested the Thesis. The Thesis Held. Five days ago I said hold AMD at $521.95 — the Anthropic deal was real but the valuation was stretched,...
Axelrod Research — JPM: The $5.6 Billion Asterisk on a "Record" Quarter
July 27, 2026
JPMorgan's Q2 print was genuinely strong — revenue up 27%, CIB up 27%, equity trading up 86%. But the $21.2 billion net income that made headlines includes...
Axelrod Research — AMD: Anthropic Puts MI450 on the Map, But "Up To" Means "Up To"
July 26, 2026
AMD closed the Anthropic deal this week — up to $5 billion in equity, up to 2 gigawatts of MI450 GPUs, and Claude committing to optimize for ROCm. It is the...
Axelrod Research — XOM: Brent Is Back Above $100. The Hedge Is Working.
July 24, 2026
XOM — Exxon: Brent Is Back Above $100. The Hedge Is Working. Brent crude crossed $100 per barrel on July 23 (CNBC, TradingEconomics) — the first time since...
Axelrod Research — META: AWS's Cloud Boss Is Now Building Its Data Centers
July 22, 2026
META — Meta Platforms: AWS's Cloud Boss Is Now Building Its Data Centers Meta is hiring Dave Brown, the AWS vice president who ran EC2 compute infrastructure...
Axelrod Research — MRK: The Keytruda Cliff Has Its First Bridge
July 21, 2026
MRK — Merck: The Keytruda Cliff Has Its First Bridge The FDA approved Merck's Lipfendra (enlicitide) on July 16 — the first oral PCSK9 inhibitor ever,...
Axelrod Research — PYPL: The Board Said No. That's the Trade.
July 20, 2026
PYPL — PayPal: The Board Said No. That's the Trade. PayPal's board formally rejected Stripe and Advent International's $60.50/share cash offer as...
NVIDIA (NVDA) — The Compute Tax on the AI Era
July 19, 2026
1. Who They Are NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA, CIK 0001045810) designs accelerated computing hardware and the software stack that runs on it. Founded 1993, fiscal...
Axelrod Research — NUAI: Helium to AI Data Centers, With Securities Lawsuits Attached
July 18, 2026
NUAI — New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. Prepared 2026-07-18. This is a research memo, not personalized investment advice. Executive Summary New Era Energy &...
Axelrod Research — MSFT: The AI Capex Overhang Is Real. So Is the Moat.
July 18, 2026
Date: 2026-07-18 Ticker: MSFT (NASDAQ) Stance: Constructive — accumulate into weakness ahead of FY26 Q4 earnings (July 29) Last close: $393.82 (2026-07-14,...