New Year’s Eve will never be the same. On December 31, 2019, my wife Grace and I were hosting friends at our home in Connecticut, playing board games with their kids and clinking glasses at midnight to mark the arrival of a new decade. We celebrated in cheerful oblivion of a New Year’s Eve announcement from Wuhan. Earlier that day, the city’s health commission issued a public notice of a small outbreak of viral pneumonia.
“So far the investigation has not found any obvious human‑to‑human transmission,” the commission declared.
In fact, a few doctors around Wuhan had already concluded that this was exactly how the new coronavirus was spreading. “At the end of December, the signs of human‑to‑human transmission were already very obvious,” Zhang Li, a doctor at Jinyintan Hospital later recalled. “Anyone with a little common sense could reach that assessment.” With some help from modern transportation, human-to-human transmission then spread Covid out of Wuhan and around the world. It became the worst pandemic crisis in modern history.
This week marks the fifth anniversary of Covid’s official debut. Since it emerged, the disease has killed perhaps over 27 million people. In 2020, Covid became the third highest cause of death in the United States, trailing only cancer and heart disease. It held onto third place in 2021, slipping to fourth place in 2022. In time, vaccinations and immunity from previous infections made Covid less deadly. In 2023, it slipped to tenth place in the list of U.S. deaths.