The Vigilant // SITREP Index 29 Low · Stable
SITREP Index 29 (Low), 0 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Sunday, September 27, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
CRITICAL Pubs in Ireland refuse to screen Israel match in protest over Gaza genocide — AlJazeera
CRITICAL Finland's Stubb credits Trump for pushing Ukraine peace talks while dismissing Russian invasion fears — FoxNews
CRITICAL Are claims of a white genocide in South Africa real? — BBC
HIGH Japan's 2011 tsunami sparked fish hybridization, but species boundaries largely held — PhysOrg
HIGH Palestinian death toll in Gaza war passes 74,000, and other Mideast news — AP
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▲ Iran | +3 | 36 (+1.5) |
| ▲ Ukraine | +2 | 61.2 (+2.5) |
| ▼ Russia | -2 | 18 (-2.5) |
| ▼ Germany | -2 | 4.5 (-4) |
| ▲ United States | +1 | 27 (+2) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| Ukraine | 61.2 | ▲ +2.5 | 84 | 39 |
| Iran | 36 | ▲ +1.5 | 0 | 72 |
| Yemen | 34.4 | — 0 | 52 | 17 |
| Myanmar | 29.6 | — 0 | 55 | 4 |
| United States | 27 | ▲ +2 | 0 | 54 |
| United Kingdom | 25.5 | ▼ -0.5 | 0 | 51 |
| China | 22 | ▼ -2 | 0 | 44 |
| Syria | 19.7 | — 0 | 40 | 0 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 5 FADE OUT - LOWEST READINESS · activity 0% · 0 locations
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 7/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | NORMAL | JPY 30d ROC -1.3% |
| Flow | ALIGNED | BTC -1.7% / QQQ +3.2% 5d |
| Regime | RISK-ON | QQQ +3.2% vs XLP -3.5% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $84,736 · Mayer 1.19 |
| Hash Rate | GROWING | +13.9% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 70/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 771.35 | ▲0.54% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 744.5 | ▲0.46% |
| Dow Jones | 517.49 | ▲0.94% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 393.41 | ▲0.44% |
| Crude Oil | 148.33 | ▼3.11% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 16.61 | ▼1.72% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 84728 | ▲0.86% |
| Ethereum | 2692 | ▲0.31% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 5.18% | +0.07% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▲0.8% | Finance ▲0.57% | Energy ▼0.89% |
| Health ▲0.49% | Consumer ▲0.22% | Industrial ▲0.95% |
| Staples ▲0.44% | Utilities ▲0.38% | Materials ▲0.24% |
| Real Est ▼0.22% | Comms ▼0.9% | Semis ▲1.01% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
BAND CONDITIONS 80‑40 m daytime fair, night good; 30‑20 m day and night good; 17‑15 m day fair, night poor; 12‑10 m day and night poor. Best monitoring windows UTC 20‑23 on 30‑20 m, 80‑40 m night, and 17‑15 m day until 22.
STATIONS OF INTEREST UVB‑76 (RU) remains a Russian numbers station; its continuity is relevant given Ukraine’s rising instability (index 61). Russian Navy HF (RU) carries military traffic that may reflect heightened Russian focus on the Ukraine front. NATO STANAG 4285 (BE) utility traffic is of interest as the United Kingdom’s stability index is modest but declining, indicating possible NATO coordination. Radio Havana Cuba (CU) evening broadcasts may echo regional reactions to the Gaza death toll reported by AP. Voice of Korea (KP) continues regular output; North Korean posture is not reflected in the supplied indices, so no direct link.
GEOPOLITICAL CORRELATION Ukraine’s high instability aligns with Russian stations under observation. Iran’s moderate index and its foreign minister’s doomsday rhetoric (CNBC) have no direct HF outlet in the list. The United States’ modest index rise is mirrored by multiple US time‑signal stations (WWV, WWVH, HFGCS) but they carry no political content. The United Kingdom’s slight decline has no specific station cited. No reporting directly involves China, Syria, or Myanmar, so their HF assets are noted as background.
MONITORING PLAN 4625 kHz UVB‑76 UTC 20‑23; 4445 kHz Russian Navy HF UTC 20‑23; 6998 kHz NATO STANAG 4285 UTC 21‑00; 6000 kHz Radio Havana Cuba UTC 21‑00; 11735 kHz Voice of Korea UTC 20‑23.
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 101 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 2 | K-INDEX 0 | X-RAY B4.2 | WIND 384 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Fair | Good |
| 30m–20m | Good | Good |
| 17m–15m | Fair | Poor |
| 12m–10m | Poor | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 31d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — MMS Delivery Failures From A Subset Of Network Subscribers In Australia To Twilio Australia Phone Numbers. minor · since Sep 11 · ongoing 16d · last update Sep 27 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Zoom — Service Degradation Affecting Customer Using Polycom Devices Going Offline minor · since Sep 25 · ongoing 2d · last update Sep 27 |
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M5.1 | Earthquake — 90 km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia |
| M5 | Earthquake — 191 km NW of Oula Xiuma, China |
| M5 | Earthquake — 61 km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia |
| ORANGE | TC — Orange notification for tropical cyclone ONE-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0 (10.248 million in |
| ORANGE | TC — Orange notification for tropical cyclone POLO-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.237 million . |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
Climate Anomalies
| SEVERITY | ZONE | TEMP | PRECIP |
| EXTREME | Ukraine cold | -9.9°F | +3.8mm |
| MODERATE | Mediterranean cold | -7.2°F | +2.9mm |
| MODERATE | Australia warm | +6.8°F | -0.3mm |
| MODERATE | Southern Africa warm | +5.8°F | -1.1mm |
| MODERATE | Central Asia cold | -5.6°F | -0.1mm |
Deltas vs seasonal baseline.
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS Watch: mass Madrid protests over Maricarmen eviction and housing crisis
GOVERNMENT CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog
DEFENSE & CONFLICT Iran's foreign minister says Tehran ready for 'doomsday' war with U.S., but leaves diplomacy…
AI & MACHINE LEARNING Anthropic CEO Amodei to meet Trump privately ahead of AI summit
BUSINESS & MARKETS How Beijing is neutralising Washington’s sanctions machine
Get realtime headlines at sitrepsentinel.com 24/7/365.
Outside the Wire
Coverage surfaced by topic, not outlet — what the fixed source roster can’t see.
Victim says Arizona court cyberattack has left her feeling vulnerable — azfamily.com
Tigray Cut Off Again as Communications Blackout Deepens Civilian Misery — wardheernews.com
The Vigilant is an automated daily intelligence brief, powered by SITREP Sentinel — sitrepsentinel.com.