The Vigilant // SITREP Index 65 Elevated · Stable
SITREP Index 65 (Elevated), 0 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Wednesday, September 23, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
CRITICAL Slovakia: PM Robert Fico's NATO Article 5 remarks spark criticism and raise questions about his country's NATO commitment — DW
CRITICAL Rubio to Meet Lavrov at UN as Putin Remains Absent Since Full-Scale Invasion — KyivPost
HIGH Putin Casts Election Result as an Endorsement of His War — WSJ
HIGH U.N. Live Updates: Zelensky Warns of Growing Global Cost of Russia’s War in Ukraine — NYT
HIGH Ukraine’s Zelenskyy calls for sustained pressure to end ‘Putin’s crazy war’ — AlJazeera
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▲ Russia | +10 | 92.5 (+6.5) |
| ▼ Iran | -8 | 81.4 (-2.5) |
| ▲ Ukraine | +6 | 84 (+4.5) |
| ▲ Israel | +5 | 54.7 (+5.5) |
| ▼ China | -4 | 61.6 (-5) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| Russia | 92.5 | ▲ +6.5 | 88 | 97 |
| United States | 84.8 | — 0 | 70 | 100 |
| Ukraine | 84 | ▲ +4.5 | 84 | 84 |
| Iran | 81.4 | ▼ -2.5 | 68 | 95 |
| China | 61.6 | ▼ -5 | 50 | 73 |
| India | 60.4 | ▼ -0.5 | 86 | 35 |
| Israel | 54.7 | ▲ +5.5 | 51 | 58 |
| United Kingdom | 46.1 | ▼ -3.5 | 48 | 44 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 3 ROUND HOUSE - INCREASE FORCE READINESS · activity 36% · 2 spikes · 6 locations
| LOCATION | ACTIVITY |
| Papa Johns Pizza | SPIKE 100% |
| Extreme Pizza | SPIKE 72% |
| Pizzato Pizza | ELEVATED 45% |
| District Pizza Palace | QUIET 0% |
| We, The Pizza | QUIET 0% |
| Domino's Pizza (Pentagon Closest) | QUIET —% |
Geopolitical Tensions
| PAIR | GPR | 7-DAY |
| USA ↔ Russia | 0.6 | ↑ +2879.6% |
| Russia ↔ Ukraine | 1.2 | ↓ -8.4% |
| USA ↔ China | -0.4 | → 0% |
| China ↔ Taiwan | 0.3 | → +4.8% |
| USA ↔ Iran | 2.2 | ↓ -14.2% |
| USA ↔ Venezuela | 0.4 | → 0% |
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 7/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | NORMAL | JPY 30d ROC -0.6% |
| Flow | ALIGNED | BTC +4.4% / QQQ +5.2% 5d |
| Regime | RISK-ON | QQQ +4.3% vs XLP -5.7% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $84,432 · Mayer 1.19 |
| Hash Rate | GROWING | +10.4% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 71/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 767.81 | ▼0.72% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 741.21 | ▼0.84% |
| Dow Jones | 514.3 | ▼0.71% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 392.88 | ▼1.8% |
| Crude Oil | 148.83 | ▲3.3% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 16.79 | ▲1.88% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 84493 | ▼1.93% |
| Ethereum | 2678 | ▼2.58% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.96% | -0.05% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▼0.47% | Finance ▼0.47% | Energy ▲0.95% |
| Health ▼0.64% | Consumer ▼1.5% | Industrial ▼0.1% |
| Staples ▼0.36% | Utilities ▼1.92% | Materials ▼0.49% |
| Real Est ▼1.55% | Comms ▼0.85% | Semis ▼1% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
BAND CONDITIONS 80‑40 m daytime fair, night good; 30‑20 m day and night good; 17‑15 m day good, night poor; 12‑10 m day fair, night poor. Best monitoring windows UTC 20‑23 on 30‑20 m and 17‑15 m day bands; UTC 23‑02 on 80‑40 m night and 30‑20 m night.
STATIONS OF INTEREST UVB‑76 (RU) remains a Russian numbers station; its continuity is relevant given Russia’s high instability index (92.5) and recent Kremlin statements on the war. SKYKING/EAM (US) provides U.S. military EAMs; U.S. index remains elevated (84.8) and U.S. officials are engaged in diplomatic talks on Ukraine. Radio Havana Cuba (CU) airs evening broadcasts; Cuba’s alignment with Russia makes its messaging noteworthy amid criticism of NATO commitments in Slovakia. Voice of Korea (KP) continues regular output; North Korean propaganda may reference broader regional tensions despite its lower index. NATO STANAG 4285 (BE) utility traffic is useful for alliance coordination as NATO debates persist over Article 5 remarks from Slovakia.
GEOPOLITICAL CORRELATION Russian stations are linked to the war in Ukraine and recent statements by Putin and Lavrov reported by Western outlets. U.S. military HF reflects ongoing diplomatic engagement on Ukraine, as noted in UN coverage of Zelensky’s warnings. Cuban broadcasts may echo the Slovakian NATO debate. No direct reporting ties to Chinese, Iranian, or Indian stations; their indices show lower volatility.
MONITORING PLAN 4625 kHz (UVB‑76) UTC 20‑02; 8992 kHz (SKYKING) UTC 20‑02; 6000 kHz (Radio Havana) UTC 20‑02; 11735 kHz (Voice of Korea) UTC 20‑02; 6998 kHz (NATO STANAG 4285) UTC 20‑02.
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 118 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 3 | K-INDEX 1 | X-RAY B5.9 | WIND 292 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Fair | Good |
| 30m–20m | Good | Good |
| 17m–15m | Good | Poor |
| 12m–10m | Fair | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 27d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — MMS Delivery Failures From A Subset Of Network Subscribers In Australia To Twilio Australia Phone Numbers. minor · since Sep 11 · ongoing 12d · last update Sep 23 |
Internet Disruptions
| NETWORK PROBLEM | Unknown network J:COM confirmed a widespread outage affecting Internet connectivity across much of Japan. · JTCL-JP-AS Sep 23 00:00Z–11:00Z |
Source: Cloudflare Radar outage annotations, last 48 hours.
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M5.7 | Earthquake — 180 km NW of Hihifo, Tonga |
| M5.3 | Earthquake — 51 km WSW of Arauco, Argentina |
| M5 | Earthquake — 140 km NNE of Ba, Fiji |
| M5 | Earthquake — Mariana Islands region |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in India |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in China |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
Climate Anomalies
| SEVERITY | ZONE | TEMP | PRECIP |
| MODERATE | California cold | -6.1°F | 0mm |
Deltas vs seasonal baseline.
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS Hurricane Polo downgraded but remains 'very powerful' off coast of Mexico
GOVERNMENT Security Council LIVE: World leaders debate ongoing war in Ukraine
DEFENSE & CONFLICT Tigrayan leaders say new war with Ethiopian government has begun
CYBER & SECURITY FBI investigates breach of jobs website as hackers claim ‘very sensitive data’ stolen
AI & MACHINE LEARNING OpenAI launches MentalHealthBench to evaluate AI mental health responses
TECHNOLOGY EU Tech Push Boosts Ultrafast Laser Startups
Get realtime headlines at sitrepsentinel.com 24/7/365.
The Vigilant is an automated daily intelligence brief, powered by SITREP Sentinel — sitrepsentinel.com.