The Vigilant // SITREP Index 60 Elevated · Escalating
SITREP Index 60 (Elevated), +1 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Monday, September 21, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
CRITICAL First charges brought in UK for 1994 Rwanda genocide — SCMP
CRITICAL First UK charges brought over 1994 Rwanda genocide — BBC
CRITICAL Rwandan man charged with crimes linked to 1994 genocide in first case brought in UK — Guardian
CRITICAL UK charges man over alleged Rwanda genocide offences — Reuters
CRITICAL Book Genocide: How Russia Has Waged War on Ukrainian Books for Centuries — KyivPost
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▲ United States | +8 | 84.8 (0) |
| ▲ Venezuela | +3 | 6.5 (+4.5) |
| ▼ Ukraine | -2 | 64.6 (-4) |
| ▲ United Kingdom | +2 | 48.1 (+4) |
| ▲ India | +1 | 55.4 (+43.4) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| United States | 84.8 | — 0 | 70 | 100 |
| Russia | 82.5 | ▲ +1.5 | 88 | 77 |
| China | 71.1 | — 0 | 50 | 92 |
| Ukraine | 64.6 | ▼ -4 | 84 | 45 |
| India | 55.4 | ▲ +43.4 | 86 | 25 |
| Iran | 51.9 | ▼ -3 | 68 | 36 |
| Pakistan | 51.3 | — 0 | 78 | 25 |
| United Kingdom | 48.1 | ▲ +4 | 48 | 48 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 5 FADE OUT - LOWEST READINESS · activity 0% · 6 locations
| LOCATION | ACTIVITY |
| Extreme Pizza | QUIET —% |
| District Pizza Palace | QUIET —% |
| We, The Pizza | QUIET —% |
| Papa Johns Pizza | QUIET —% |
| Pizzato Pizza | QUIET —% |
| Domino's Pizza (Pentagon Closest) | QUIET —% |
Geopolitical Tensions
| PAIR | GPR | 7-DAY |
| USA ↔ Russia | 0.5 | → 0% |
| Russia ↔ Ukraine | 1.2 | ↓ -6.7% |
| USA ↔ China | -0.3 | → 0% |
| China ↔ Taiwan | 0.4 | ↑ +8.8% |
| USA ↔ Iran | 2.3 | ↓ -14.4% |
| USA ↔ Venezuela | 0.3 | → 0% |
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 6/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | NORMAL | JPY 30d ROC -1.1% |
| Flow | PASSIVE GAP | BTC +13.8% / QQQ +4.5% 5d |
| Regime | RISK-ON | QQQ +3.9% vs XLP -4.8% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $86,653 · Mayer 1.23 |
| Hash Rate | GROWING | +17.7% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 70/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 773.5 | ▲1.55% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 741.32 | ▲2.75% |
| Dow Jones | 519.78 | ▲0.76% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 398.38 | ▼0.7% |
| Crude Oil | 148.16 | ▼3.68% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 16.94 | ▼0.88% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 86555 | ▲6.61% |
| Ethereum | 2763 | ▲4.9% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.94% | -0.07% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▲2.76% | Finance ▲0.07% | Energy ▼2.88% |
| Health ▲0.37% | Consumer ▲1.08% | Industrial ▲0.14% |
| Staples ▼1.06% | Utilities ▼1.07% | Materials ▼0.56% |
| Real Est ▲0.14% | Comms ▲3.56% | Semis ▲4.02% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
BAND CONDITIONS 80‑40 m daytime fair, night good; 30‑20 m both day and night good; 17‑15 m day fair, night poor; 12‑10 m day and night poor. Best monitoring windows UTC 20‑23 on 30‑20 m and 80‑40 m night, and UTC 23‑02 on 30‑20 m and 80‑40 m day.
STATIONS OF INTEREST UVB‑76 (RU) remains a Russian numbers station; its continuity is relevant given Russia’s high instability index and recent domestic reporting on genocide‑related charges in the UK. SKYKING/EAM (US) military broadcasts merit attention as the United States shows the highest instability score and is featured in multiple geopolitical reports. NATO STANAG 4285 (BE) utility traffic is notable because Belgium’s moderate index aligns with broader NATO communications amid heightened Russian activity. RWM (RU) time‑signal is useful for timing correlation with Russian broadcasts. Radio Havana (CU) evening schedule may intersect with Cuban regional interests, though no specific report ties to current events.
GEOPOLITICAL CORRELATION Russia’s index of 82.5 and recent UK legal actions concerning the 1994 Rwanda genocide (multiple UK outlets) underscore heightened scrutiny of Russian communications. The United States, index 84.8, appears in no specific report but its high instability makes its military HF traffic significant. China’s index 71.1 has no direct report linkage today. The United Kingdom’s index 48.1 rises with the UK genocide‑related prosecutions (BBC, Guardian, Reuters). No reporting relates to Canada, Ireland, Japan, or other listed stations.
MONITORING PLAN 4625 kHz UVB‑76 UTC 20‑02; 8992 kHz SKYKING/EAM UTC 20‑02; 6998 kHz NATO STANAG 4285 UTC 21‑02; 9996 kHz RWM UTC 20‑02; 6000 kHz Radio Havana UTC 22‑02.
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 101 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 2 | K-INDEX 0 | X-RAY B3.1 | WIND 331 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Fair | Good |
| 30m–20m | Good | Good |
| 17m–15m | Fair | Poor |
| 12m–10m | Poor | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 25d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — MMS Delivery Failures From A Subset Of Network Subscribers In Australia To Twilio Australia Phone Numbers. minor · since Sep 11 · ongoing 10d · last update Sep 21 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Zoom — Service Degradation Affecting Apple Login for Zoom Sign-in. minor · since Sep 21 · ongoing 1h · last update Sep 21 |
Internet Disruptions
| TECHNICAL | Unknown network O2 Czech Republic confirmed a widespread outage affecting Internet connectivity and its customer application. · O2-CZECH-REPUBLIC Sep 21 06:30Z–08:15Z |
Source: Cloudflare Radar outage annotations, last 48 hours.
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M5.7 | Earthquake — south of Africa |
| M5.5 | Earthquake — 35 km NNE of Ruteng, Indonesia |
| M5.2 | Earthquake — 167 km WNW of Mejillones, Chile |
| M5 | Earthquake — 38 km E of Nobeoka, Japan |
| M5 | Earthquake — 34 km WNW of Luwuk, Indonesia |
| M5 | Earthquake — 248 km SSE of False Pass, Alaska |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in India |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in China |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
Climate Anomalies
| SEVERITY | ZONE | TEMP | PRECIP |
| MODERATE | California cold | -7°F | 0mm |
| MODERATE | Middle East cold | -5.6°F | 0mm |
Deltas vs seasonal baseline.
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS Airplane makes ‘miracle’ landing as Typhoon Dujuan hits Japan
GOVERNMENT Former Bank CEO Sentenced to Over 9 Years in Prison for Multimillion-Dollar Wire Fraud Conspi…
DEFENSE & CONFLICT Trump’s approval rating hits record low amid Iran war, economy fallout
CYBER & SECURITY Employees sue global agribusiness following criminal data breach
AI & MACHINE LEARNING Spectre of Rogue A.I. Looms Over U.N. Talks on Digital Cooperation
TECHNOLOGY AWS bolts together open source agent harness, says it sips fewer tokens than rivals
Get realtime headlines at sitrepsentinel.com 24/7/365.
Outside the Wire
Coverage surfaced by topic, not outlet — what the fixed source roster can’t see.
Ethiopia: united states Delists Ethiopia From Arms Embargo, Reversing 2021 Tigray War Time Ban — allafrica.com
Sen. Chuck Grassley Argues for a Diesel Embargo — twitchy.com
The Vigilant is an automated daily intelligence brief, powered by SITREP Sentinel — sitrepsentinel.com.