The Vigilant // SITREP Index 64 Elevated · Escalating
SITREP Index 64 (Elevated), +1 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Monday, September 14, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
CRITICAL Burnham must establish an inquiry into Britain’s role in the Gaza genocide — AlJazeera
CRITICAL Kharkiv Holds First Pride March Since Russia’s Full-Scale Invasion — KyivPost
HIGH U.S. Sanctions Russian Bank in Latest Target for Campaign Against Iran — WSJMarkets
HIGH Operation Economic Outcast Sanctions Major Bank Helping Iran Evade Sanctions — Treasury
HIGH Israeli army chief orders legal review of Gaza war documentary NAZA — SCMP
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▲ United States | +4 | 75.8 (+5) |
| ▲ Russia | +2 | 94 (+0.5) |
| ▼ China | -2 | 62.6 (-2.5) |
| ▲ Turkey | +2 | 36.5 (+2.5) |
| ▼ Ukraine | -1 | 84 (-0.5) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| Russia | 94 | ▲ +0.5 | 88 | 100 |
| Ukraine | 84 | ▼ -0.5 | 85 | 83 |
| United States | 75.8 | ▲ +5 | 70 | 82 |
| Iran | 74.9 | ▲ +8 | 68 | 82 |
| China | 62.6 | ▼ -2.5 | 50 | 75 |
| India | 62.4 | ▲ +1.5 | 86 | 39 |
| Brazil | 51.8 | — 0 | 80 | 24 |
| Yemen | 48.1 | ▲ +3.5 | 52 | 44 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 4 DOUBLE TAKE - INCREASED INTELLIGENCE WATCH · activity 34% · 1 spike · 6 locations
| LOCATION | ACTIVITY |
| District Pizza Palace | SPIKE 100% |
| Extreme Pizza | ELEVATED 50% |
| Papa Johns Pizza | ELEVATED 40% |
| We, The Pizza | QUIET 12% |
| Domino's Pizza (Pentagon Closest) | QUIET 2% |
| Pizzato Pizza | QUIET 0% |
Geopolitical Tensions
| PAIR | GPR | 7-DAY |
| USA ↔ Russia | 0 | ↓ -112.6% |
| Russia ↔ Ukraine | 1.3 | ↓ -13.6% |
| USA ↔ China | -0.5 | ↓ -517.6% |
| China ↔ Taiwan | 0.3 | ↓ -70.6% |
| USA ↔ Iran | 2.7 | ↑ +16.9% |
| USA ↔ Venezuela | -0.1 | → 0% |
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 5/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | NORMAL | JPY 30d ROC -2.0% |
| Flow | ALIGNED | BTC +0.9% / QQQ -1.4% 5d |
| Regime | DEFENSIVE | QQQ -3.0% vs XLP -1.9% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $78,996 · Mayer 1.13 |
| Hash Rate | STABLE | +2.5% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 57/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 760.88 | ▼0.45% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 709.26 | ▼0.79% |
| Dow Jones | 524.49 | ▼0.25% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 392.84 | ▼1.49% |
| Crude Oil | 156.66 | ▲1.14% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 17.49 | ▲1.1% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 78994 | ▲2.23% |
| Ethereum | 2541 | ▲1.37% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.95% | +0.12% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▼1.81% | Finance ▼0.38% | Energy ▼0.94% |
| Health ▲1.45% | Consumer ▼0.1% | Industrial ▼1.42% |
| Staples ▲1.25% | Utilities ▼1.34% | Materials ▼0.9% |
| Real Est ▼0.69% | Comms ▲2.19% | Semis ▼4.75% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
BAND CONDITIONS 80‑40 m daytime band is poor; night band fair. 30‑20 m day and night fair. 17‑15 m day fair, night poor. 12‑10 m both day and night poor. Best monitoring windows UTC now through 02:00: 30‑20 m all night, 17‑15 m daylight until 23:00, 80‑40 m night after 22:00.
STATIONS OF INTEREST UVB‑76 (RU) remains a Russian domestic numeric filler, relevant given Russia’s high instability index. SKYKING/EAM (US) carries U.S. military traffic; U.S. index rose sharply and sanctions on Russian banks are noted. RWM (RU) time‑signal provides a reliable Russian reference amid heightened Russian activity. NATO STANAG 4285 (BE) utility traffic may reflect NATO coordination as U.S. sanctions intensify. Radio Havana Cuba (CU) evening broadcasts are useful for Cuban‑US relations, though no specific report ties to current events.
GEOPOLITICAL CORRELATION Russia’s index of 94 aligns with reports of Ukrainian pride march and U.S. sanctions on a Russian bank, indicating heightened tension. United States’ index rise accompanies the Treasury sanction on a bank aiding Iran and the U.S. sanction on a Russian bank, underscoring policy pressure. Iran’s index increase matches the Treasury sanction on a bank facilitating Iranian evasion and the Houthi attack claim. No reporting directly involves China, India, Brazil, Yemen, or Turkey; their stations remain informational.
MONITORING PLAN 4445 kHz Russian Navy HF 20‑02 UTC; 8300 kHz PLA HF 20‑02 UTC; 6998 kHz NATO STANAG 4285 20‑02 UTC; 10000 kHz WWV/WWVH/BPM continuous as reference.
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 114 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 27 | K-INDEX 4 | X-RAY B2.9 | WIND 360 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Poor | Fair |
| 30m–20m | Fair | Fair |
| 17m–15m | Fair | Poor |
| 12m–10m | Poor | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 18d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — MMS Delivery Failures from Telstra Australia to a Subset of Twilio Phone Numbers minor · since Sep 4 · ongoing 10d · last update Sep 14 |
✓ Resolved since yesterday: Anthropic
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M5.6 | Earthquake — 78 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia |
| M5.5 | Earthquake — 187 km SSW of Pelabuhanratu, Indonesia |
| M5.4 | Earthquake — northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge |
| M5.2 | Earthquake — 135 km SE of Gizo, Solomon Islands |
| M5.1 | Earthquake — 50 km N of Ruteng, Indonesia |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS Turkey police disperse pro-LGBTQ protesters with tear gas
GOVERNMENT CISA Adds One Known Exploited Vulnerability to Catalog
DEFENSE & CONFLICT Houthis target Saudi base as Iran denies involvement in Yemen war
CYBER & SECURITY Global Warming Will Breach the 1.5 Degree Celsius Limit. Now What?
AI & MACHINE LEARNING Trump says no need for more AI regulation, slams Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei
TECHNOLOGY Apple releases test of redesigned Siri AI before iPhone 18 hits stores this week
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