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PolyNews
Implied odds — plain English
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Brent up, risk assets wobbly
Oil prices rise as Iran denies US talks
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Despejado Madrid 5° · Poco nuboso Barcelona 10° · Despejado Valencia 11° · Poco nuboso Sevilla 10° · Nublado Bilbao 10°
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Global tape · US · crypto · oil
| S&P 500 |
$6,592 |
+0.5% |
| Nasdaq |
$21,930 |
+0.8% |
| Bitcoin |
$70,006 |
-1.8% |
| Brent |
$99.15 |
+1.9% |
IBEX 35 · Europe
€17,170
+1.5% today
EU heavyweights
| Santander |
€9.71 |
+2.4% |
| BBVA |
€18.68 |
+2.2% |
| Inditex |
€50.40 |
+1.2% |
| Telefónica |
€3.72 |
+1.3% |
| Iberdrola |
€19.40 |
+0.5% |
Macro read
Rates steady, USD strong, risk appetite weak
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❷ The markets say
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Ruled out
Resolves Mar 31, 2026
Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March
Crude Oil to $200 by March? No way
Why it matters
Oil prices impact your wallet
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Watch · MSNBC
Trump celebrates high oil prices: ‘We make a lot of money’
Verified news channel · opens in YouTube
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Ruled out
Resolves Jul 20, 2026
Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Scotland wins 2026 World Cup? Ruled out
Why it matters
Global football fans on edge
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Ruled out
Resolves Mar 31, 2026
Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March
Gold to $6,600 by March? Unlikely
Why it matters
Gold investors on high alert
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Ruled out
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
Larry Page be richest person on December 31
Larry Page richest by Dec 31? Maybe
Why it matters
Tech mogul rankings at stake
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Almost certain
Resolves May 28, 2026
Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings
Bayern Munich top 4 in Bundesliga? Likely
Why it matters
Bundesliga fans eager for top 4
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Picked for you · IBEX +1.54% today
IBEX 35 is up 1.54%. European risk-on days still demand a clear process.
Invest with low fees →
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Signal of the day
Market says no to $200 oil, but wires hint at escalating tensions with Iran
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❹ World in 30 seconds
Oil prices rise as Iran denies US talks. Geopolitical tensions simmer. What's next for crude oil?
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❺ On the wire
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Al Jazeera
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NPR
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NPR
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Al Jazeera
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Al Jazeera
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Sources include BBC, Guardian, NPR, Al Jazeera—headlines edited for length; not endorsements.
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Will oil prices keep rising?
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