Four Fingers News — Tuesday, June 9, 2026
FOUR FINGERS NEWS
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Tuesday, June 9, 2026
FROM THE EDITOR · June 9, 2026
Day 102. The halt held a second day, and this morning Trump is using a phrase I haven’t heard from him before — “final throes.” He says the deal is two or three days out, and that Hormuz reopens the moment ink hits paper. I want to believe it. I’ve also watched this war reset to zero enough times to keep my coat on. The catch is buried in Tehran’s own statement: the guns stay quiet only as long as Israel stops hitting southern Lebanon — and Israel just vowed to hit it harder. That’s the thread the whole thing hangs on. Yesterday the barrels were shouting; today they’ve gone quiet, Brent back under $93, the S&P near another record. Markets are pricing the handshake. I’m watching Lebanon. More in the morning.
— T.
The Run Down
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DAY 102
Guns Stay Quiet a Second Day; Lebanon Becomes the Truce’s Fault Line
Israel and Iran held their fire for a second day Tuesday after Monday’s missile exchange, the worst since the April ceasefire. The pause rests on one condition Tehran set — that Israel stop hitting Hezbollah — and Israel is instead vowing to intensify its strikes in southern Lebanon, the same trigger Iran says would restart the shooting. Trump said the two sides are “looking to do an immediate ceasefire” and that a wider deal is close; crude eased as the missiles stopped flying.
MARKETS
Wall Street Claws Back, Chips Out Front, as May CPI Lands Wednesday
Stocks rebounded Tuesday with chipmakers leading — the S&P added about 0.6% and the Nasdaq 0.7% — steadying after Friday’s hot jobs print buried the rate-cut case. May CPI prints Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET, with the Fed meeting Jun 16–17.
SURVEILLANCE
Section 702 Runs Out Friday With No Senate Deal in Sight
The warrantless foreign-surveillance authority sunsets Jun 12 after the Senate’s 47–52 stall on Jun 5, when seven Republicans joined Democrats demanding privacy limits. Any short-term patch would have to clear both chambers within days.
ENERGY
Hormuz Blockade Holds; No Reopening Seen Before Late July
The dual US–Iran closure of the strait — the transit point for about a fifth of the world’s oil — has become the war’s most durable feature, throttling Gulf exports even as front-line fire pauses. Analysts don’t expect the chokepoint to reopen before late July; crude has eased only modestly off Monday’s spike.
SCOTUS
Supreme Court Nears Recess With Its Biggest Cases Still Unsigned
As opinion days arrive, the Court still hasn’t ruled on birthright citizenship, campaign-finance limits, mail-in ballots, transgender athletes, or the president’s power to fire independent-agency heads. Recent weeks brought rulings narrowing the Voting Rights Act and halting Trump’s emergency tariffs.
NORTHWEST
World Cup Opens Thursday; Seattle’s Six Matches Start Monday
The 48-team tournament opens Jun 11 across the US, Mexico and Canada, and Seattle’s fan festivals start the same day. The city’s first match is Belgium–Egypt at noon Monday, with the US men playing here on Juneteenth.
SPORTS
Spurs Grab Game 3 Behind Wembanyama; Mariners Knock Off Baltimore
Victor Wembanyama poured in 32 as San Antonio beat New York 115–111 on Monday to climb back into the Finals, with the Knicks still up 2–1. In Baltimore, Josh Naylor’s grand slam keyed a five-run fifth and the Mariners downed the Orioles 6–3.
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