Ringside · Post-Bell · Jun 02
- Broadcom and CrowdStrike both report after Wednesday's close, the first major technology results since Marvell's surge.
- The larger question is whether today's broader participation lasts.
- Oil sits beneath the Iran talks.
Indexes
Another record finish, but with a different complexion: the gains were broad this time, led by small caps and economically sensitive sectors while the biggest technology names mostly stepped aside.
| Index | Close | % Change | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,609.78 | +0.13% | First close above 7,600 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 27,093.90 | +0.03% | Inched to its own record |
| Dow Jones | 51,307.79 | +0.45% | Led the majors, up about 229 points |
| Russell 2000 | 2,931.96 | +0.90% | Small caps out front as breadth improved |
| VIX | 15.77 | -1.74% | Volatility eased back toward the mid-teens |
Sector Heat Map
Seven of the eleven sectors advanced, and the leaders were a different bunch than the ones that carried Monday.
| Sector ETF | % Change | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities (XLU) | +1.62% | Rebounded as long-term yields eased |
| Technology (XLK) | +1.44% | Marvell and the AI-silicon names led |
| Materials (XLB) | +1.38% | Tracked copper higher |
| Energy (XLE) | +0.87% | Followed crude's continued climb |
| Industrials (XLI) | +0.86% | Cyclicals joined the advance |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | +0.44% | Helped by the softer long end |
| Financials (XLF) | +0.09% | Edged up with a steady curve |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | -0.23% | Slipped as money favored cyclicals |
| Consumer Discretionary (XLY) | -0.33% | Mixed; retail results cut both ways |
| Health Care (XLV) | -0.91% | Broad give-back across the group |
| Communication Services (XLC) | -1.09% | Weighed down by Alphabet |
The rotation flipped Monday's script: rate-sensitive utilities and real estate recovered as yields eased, cyclical materials, energy and industrials joined in, and the only real soft spots were health care and a communication-services group pulled lower by Alphabet's slide.
In the News
Drivers
Broadcom and CrowdStrike both report after Wednesday's close, the first major technology results since Marvell's surge. Broadcom's custom-silicon and AI-networking numbers will test whether the excitement around AI infrastructure is justified or already fully priced, while CrowdStrike offers a read on security-software spending. Strong results could extend the rally in the chip names, while a cautious outlook from either would test nerves quickly.
The larger question is whether today's broader participation lasts. A market that can climb on small caps, cyclicals and rate-sensitive sectors while its mega-cap leaders pause is sturdier than one leaning on a handful of names. If the rotation fades and money crowds back into the same few winners, the advance grows more fragile even while the headline indexes set records.
Oil sits beneath the Iran talks. An agreement that gets crude flowing freely through the Gulf again would likely pull prices down and ease the inflation worry hanging over stocks; if the talks collapse, that risk stays priced into the barrel and keeps gasoline costs up for households.
Rates, FX, Commodities
Long-term Treasury yields drifted lower, the dollar held its ground, and oil pushed higher for a second straight day.
| Treasury | Yield | % Chg | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-Year | 4.03% | -0.25% | Hugging the floor of its range |
| 5-Year | 4.18% | -0.21% | Eased with the belly of the curve |
| 10-Year | 4.45% | -0.45% | Down about 2 basis points |
| 30-Year | 4.97% | -0.48% | Slipped back from the 5% mark |
The 2s10s curve sat near +42 basis points.
| FX | Level | % Change |
|---|---|---|
| Dollar Index (DXY) | 99.22 | +0.04% |
| EUR/USD | 1.1635 | -0.02% |
| USD/JPY | 159.88 | +0.14% |
| Commodity | Price | % Change |
|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude | $93.45 | +2.19% |
| Brent Crude | $95.79 | +1.49% |
| Gold | $4,518.10 | -0.23% |
| Natural Gas | $3.17 | -0.69% |
| Copper | $6.68 | +1.68% |
Crude added more than 2% as the Hormuz standoff stayed unresolved, lifting West Texas Intermediate to $93.45 a barrel. Gold eased 0.2% to $4,518 as money rotated toward equities, while copper's 1.7% gain pointed to steady industrial demand.
Technicals
At 7,609.78 the S&P 500 closed a step above the 7,600 line it had only tagged before, sitting well clear of its 50-day average near 7,150 and its 200-day in the upper 6,800s, with 7,520 the first support beneath. The Nasdaq Composite stayed above the 27,000 level it reclaimed Monday. On rates, the 10-year yield at 4.45% drifted into the lower half of its recent 4.40% to 4.60% range, and a sustained break of 4.40% would point to the market pricing in easier policy ahead; the 2-year near 4.03% kept pressing its range floor. The day's standout chart was Marvell, which gapped to a multi-year high in heavy volume and now trades with little overhead resistance. On the downside, Dell reversed sharply from Monday's record, and Alphabet gapped out of its recent range on news of its stock sale.
Breakouts & Breakdowns
Breakouts
Marvell Technology (MRVL) — Surged 32% to $290.79 and cleared every prior peak, leaving the shares in open space with no overhead supply. The move came on enormous volume; the former resistance shelf in the $250s now becomes the first support to watch.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) — Gapped from the high $40s to $56.15, its best level in years, on a blowout quarter. The opening gap toward $50 is the line buyers will defend, and holding it keeps the breakout intact.
Breakdowns
Dell Technologies (DELL) — Fell 6.6% to $435.31, erasing most of Monday's surge and printing a sharp reversal right at the prior record near $466. A close back under the rising 20-day average near $415 would put the early-May breakout zone back in play.
Alphabet (GOOGL) — Slid nearly 4% to $361.85, gapping out of its recent range after unveiling a large stock sale. The $348-to-$352 area where the new shares were priced lines up with prior support and marks the next floor.
Top Movers
Gainers
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) jumped 19% to $56.15, the session's biggest large-cap gainer, after a fiscal second-quarter report that ran well past expectations. The company earned an adjusted $0.79 per share on revenue of $10.7 billion, up 40% from a year earlier, as its server business grew 33% and artificial-intelligence orders reached $2.1 billion; management lifted its full-year profit and cash-flow guidance. The result signaled that surging demand for AI servers is reaching the broader enterprise market beyond the cloud giants.
Marvell Technology (MRVL) soared 32% to $290.79, its best day in more than two decades, after Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang called it the next trillion-dollar company during the Computex show in Taipei. Huang praised Marvell's networking and connectivity chips, which shuttle data between the thousands of processors inside an AI data center, and Nvidia itself took a stake in the firm earlier this year. The endorsement sent investors hunting for the suppliers that equip the AI build-out.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) climbed about 7% to $50.17, riding the same AI-server demand that powered Hewlett Packard Enterprise's quarter. As one of the largest makers of AI-optimized servers, Super Micro tends to move whenever orders for that hardware look to be accelerating. The signal for the group is that enterprise AI spending is widening beyond the early adopters.
Losers
Alphabet (GOOGL) fell nearly 4% to $361.85, the heaviest weight on the S&P 500, after the Google parent said it would raise $80 billion through stock sales to fund its AI infrastructure. The plan includes a $10 billion private placement to Berkshire Hathaway, a notable vote of confidence, but the prospect of issuing so much new stock stirred worries about dilution. Investors are weighing how much it now costs the largest technology companies to keep pace in AI.
Dell Technologies (DELL) dropped 6.6% to $435.31, giving back most of Monday's double-digit jump. Enthusiasm over Dell's role in Nvidia's new consumer-chip launch faded, and investors booked profits after the sharp run. The pullback is a reminder of how quickly momentum can reverse in the AI-hardware names once a one-day surge runs its course.
Nvidia (NVDA) slipped 0.5% to $222.82, an unusual step back for the chipmaker that has led the AI trade. With Marvell grabbing the spotlight and money spreading into smaller and more cyclical names, the largest AI winner simply paused. A quiet session for Nvidia while the rest of the market advanced captured how broad the day's gains really were.
Key Macro Data Today
Hiring demand ran hotter than anyone expected.
| Release | Actual | Consensus | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOLTS Job Openings (April) | 7.62M | 6.87M | 6.90M |
Openings jumped about 731,000 to their highest level in nearly two years, far above forecasts, even as hiring and quits stayed subdued in what economists are describing as a low-hire, low-fire job market. A demand reading this strong gives the Federal Reserve one more reason to be patient on rate cuts, yet Treasury yields edged lower on the day, a sign the market focused on the soft hiring rather than the headline.
Notable Earnings This Session
The reporting calendar leaned toward the consumer before the bell, with the marquee technology results still ahead.
Pre-Open
Dollar General (DG) beat, earning $2.00 per share against a $1.89 forecast, with same-store sales up 2% and a raised full-year outlook; customer traffic rose, a sign the value shopper is holding up. Victoria's Secret (VSCO) also topped estimates, posting a 15% sales gain and adjusted earnings of $0.60 per share, double what analysts expected, and lifted its guidance.
Post-Close
The after-hours slate was light. Broadcom (AVGO) and CrowdStrike (CRWD) both report after Wednesday's close, giving investors a fresh look at custom AI chips and cybersecurity demand following Marvell's blockbuster session.
What Drove the Tape
The record this time looked healthier than the ones before it. The S&P 500 posted its first close above 7,600 even as Nvidia and the other recent leaders rested, with the gains instead coming from small caps, industrials, materials and a utilities group revived by easing yields. Two earnings-driven stories supplied the spark: Marvell's 32% leap on Jensen Huang's endorsement and Hewlett Packard Enterprise's 19% jump on a blowout AI-server quarter, both of which lit up the chip and hardware names. Working the other way, Alphabet's plan to sell $80 billion in stock to fund its AI spending knocked its shares down nearly 4% and dragged the communication-services sector, a reminder of how expensive the AI race has become for the giants running it. Crude added more than 2% on the unresolved Hormuz standoff, and a surprisingly strong reading on job openings did little to lift yields, which slipped instead.