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February 20, 2026

☕ XOXO, Your Daily Dose of VC Tea

☕ XOXO, Your Daily Dose of VC Tea

February 20, 2026


Hey Upper East Siders (and Sand Hill Road dwellers)...

Word on the street is the venture capital scene is absolutely spilling today, and I'm here to serve you the tea piping hot. Grab your oat milk latte and settle in, because what I'm about to tell you will have you reconsidering everything you thought you knew about AI valuations.


🔥 The Headlines That Have Everyone Talking

Spotted: OpenAI Serving $850B Realness

You didn't hear it from me, but our favorite AI darling is finalizing a deal that would make even the boldest billionaire blush. OpenAI is closing in on raising over $100 billion at a valuation that could exceed $850 billion — that's $20 billion higher than the already-astronomical $830 billion everyone expected. 1

Sources say the usual suspects are lining up to throw money at Sam Altman & co.: - Amazon: potentially dropping up to $50 billion - SoftBank: gearing up for $30 billion - Nvidia: close to investing $20 billion (separate from their $100B infrastructure pact) - Microsoft: of course they're in the mix

Honey, at these valuations, OpenAI isn't just a unicorn — it's become the entire mythical creature kingdom.

Thrive Capital's Fund X: $10 Billion of "We Run This Town"

Blink and you'll miss it, but Joshua Kushner just casually raised a $10 billion Fund X at Thrive Capital. The firm now boasts more than $25 billion in assets under management, having backed the biggest names in tech from OpenAI to SpaceX to — yes — Kim Kardashian's Skims. 2

The new fund will focus on AI startups, robotics, space, and life sciences. You know what they say about the Kushner family: they don't just bet on winners, they become the casino.

General Catalyst Goes All In On India

The partners at General Catalyst apparently woke up and chose global domination. The firm just announced a $5 billion commitment to India over the next five years, expanding their footprint after merging with local venture firm Venture Highway less than two years ago. 3

With India hosting the AI Impact Summit and the government seeking $200 billion in AI infrastructure investments, GC isn't just dipping their toes in the water — they're diving in headfirst. Neeraj Arora, GC's CEO for India, MENA, and North Africa, says this allows them to "operate at a different scale." Translation: they're not playing around.


💸 The Funding Round Gossip

Altesa BioSciences: $75M Series B

This clinical-stage pharma company just closed an oversubscribed Series B led by Forbion, with Sanofi participating. They're targeting chronic lung diseases — because apparently investors still care about actual humans, not just chatbots.

Freeform: $67M Series B

AI-powered metal 3D printing is having a moment. The startup is upgrading from 18 lasers to hundreds for daily production of thousands of kilograms of metal parts. Defense tech meets manufacturing meets pure flex. 4

Jump: $80M Series B

An AI operating system for financial advisors just secured a massive bag. Because even your wealth manager needs AI to tell them what to do.

inKind: $450M

The restaurant financing platform apparently had quite the raise. That's not a typo — four hundred fifty million.


🚀 What the VCs Are Saying

Grab your favorite beverage because the VC Twitterati have been especially chatty this week...

The AI Funding Dominance Takes

Tom Karren (Seed VC) dropped some uncomfortable truth bombs:

"80% of VC capital to AI means 20% fighting for scraps. If you're building anything non-AI and plan to raise Series A in 2026, you're either exceptional or timing a funeral."

— x.com/tomkarren/status/2022430609503871241

Ouch. The math is math-ing, and it's brutal out there for non-AI founders.

Peter Diamandis painted an even wilder picture:

"Welcome to 2026: the world is witnessing $1B per day into AI on the way to $3B/day... venture capital? Irrelevant. GPUs are rationed, and electricity is hard ceiling intelligence."

— x.com/PeterDiamandis/status/2008191066831253850

When someone with 5M+ followers says "VC is irrelevant," you listen.

The 2026 IPO Predictions

Vance Spencer (HiFi Framework) had thoughts about the IPO pipeline:

"Private market AI VCs doing 12 figure late stage rounds are about to learn the hard way what crypto VCs have learned over the past couple of years. There simply isn't enough capital, even on wall street, to IPO trillions of dollars of private market value in 2026."

— x.com/pythianism/status/2001366609945137234

Drama! Crypto VCs apparently learned a lesson, and AI VCs might be next to find out.

Perplexity Finance summed up the mega-IPO speculation:

"3 largest private companies worth combined over $1.5 TRILLION preparing to IPO in 2026: - SpaceX: $800B valuation - OpenAI: Currently $500B, in talks for $750B+ raise - Anthropic: Expecting $300B+ valuation"

— x.com/PPLXfinance/status/2006712729063796968

A combined $1.5 trillion in IPOs would make 2021 look like amateur hour.

Startup Wisdom From the OGs

Paul Graham went viral (again) with this gem about avoiding the "visionary" trap:

"Empirically, the way to do really big things seems to be to start with small things and grow them bigger... The popular image of a visionary is someone with a very precise view of the future, but empirically it's probably better to have a blurry one."

— x.com/StartupArchive_/status/2017943515578449995

Sometimes the best advice is the oldest advice. Start small, think blurry.

Marc Andreessen on the future of generalists:

"Marc Andreessen explains future belongs to generalists in the AI era. Founders will need skills across 6–8 fields. Deep expertise still matters, but broad knowledge plus AI tools will be more valuable in most areas."

— x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/2020354149259325690

This clip went seriously viral with 400K+ views. Time to become a Renaissance founder, apparently.


🔬 Sam Altman's Other Obsession

Speaking of OpenAI's golden boy, his fusion power bet at Helion Energy just hit a milestone that's literally hotter than the sun. The Washington-based startup's reactor reached 150 million degrees Celsius — that's 10 times the sun's temperature. 5

Helion successfully fused hydrogen isotopes deuterium and tritium atoms together. If this works at scale, we're talking about solving energy for AI compute AND climate change simultaneously. Sam really said "why solve one existential crisis when you can solve two?"


📊 The Data Dump

Om Patel scraped 1,260+ startups funded by top VCs and shared what the data shows: - AI agents for service businesses getting early YC funding - AI + healthcare getting massive checks ($243M, $101M rounds) - Cybersecurity is "printing" ($81M Series B for a 2024-founded company) - Legal AI exploding (Harvey raised $300M at $5B valuation) - Fintech still alive (Ramp raised $500M at $22.5B)

— x.com/om_patel5/status/2024350180334510085

Stop guessing what to build and follow the money, folks.


🌍 Global VC Tea

  • Nvidia is deepening its push into India's AI startup ecosystem, partnering with early-stage venture firm Activate to back 25-30 AI startups from a $75M fund 6
  • Egypt's Breadfast raised $50M pre-Series C, moving closer to IPO
  • Kubota led a €6.5M round in Kilter, an ultra-precise spot spraying robot developer
  • Forbes released their ForbesBLK 50: Money Masters list, highlighting over 1,000 women and minority-owned PE and VC firms in the US — up from only 100 in 2014 7

💅 That's All, Folks

The venture capital world continues to be equal parts inspiring and absolutely unhinged. We've got trillion-dollar valuations, fusion reactors hotter than the sun, and VCs warning that 80% of capital is going to AI while simultaneously saying AI VCs might be in for a rude awakening.

If you're raising this quarter, remember: either you're building AI, or you're building for the 20% of capital that isn't. Choose wisely.

Until next time, stay scrappy and keep those pitch decks polished.

You know you love me,

XOXO — Gossip Girl 💋


Got a tip? A hot funding round? A founder drama story? You know where to find me.


Sources


  1. OpenAI reportedly finalizing $100B deal at more than $850B valuation | TechCrunch

    OpenAI is reportedly getting close to closing a $100 billion deal, with backers including Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and Microsoft. The deal would value the ChatGPT-maker at $850 billion.

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  2. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexyork/2026/02/20/meet-the-young-founders-and-superstars-building-in-the-silicon-desert/

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  3. General Catalyst commits $5B to India over five years | TechCrunch

    The pledge marks a sharp jump from General Catalyst's earlier $500 million–$1 billion India earmark.

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  4. Freeform Secures $67M Series B to Scale AI-Powered Metal 3D Printing | Ukraine news - #Mezha

    Freeform raised $67 million in Series B funding to advance its AI-driven 3D metal printing platform, aiming to scale production with hundreds of lasers and real-time physics simulations.

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  5. https://www.forbes.com/sites/the-prototype/2026/02/20/sam-altmans-fusion-power-bet-just-got-hotter-than-the-sun/

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  6. Nvidia deepens early-stage push into India's AI startup ecosystem | TechCrunch

    Nvidia is working with investors, nonprofits, and venture firms to build earlier ties with India's fast-growing AI founder ecosystem.

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  7. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jabariyoung/2026/02/20/forbesblk-50-money-masters/

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