**Canterbury Snow Outlook** *The 14-day picture — the days worth watching.* **Issued** Monday 07 September 2026, 07:58 NZST · **Outlook period** next 14 days

Thursday stands out clearly — snow high on the hills looks likely.

Tomorrow and Wednesday are clean. Thursday is the day to plan around: at 83–94% on the hills, snow is the expected outcome but only above 700-800m, and guidance has been firming across successive runs. Risk drops away rapidly lower down. The plains are also in the frame at around 18–21% — a minor chance but worth considering for transport and stock.

Friday onward through the weekend is quiet, with nothing of note showing until the following week. From Wednesday (16th) through Friday (18th), forecast guidance flags a low-chance watch window — hills around 16–27%, plains up to 20% on Thursday (17th). These are worth keeping an eye on at this range, but they remain the minority outcome and the picture could shift considerably. The mid-next-week cluster is real but early and weak — note it, don't act on it yet. The next Canterbury Snow Outlook goes out on Monday 14 September, or sooner if the picture changes. This morning paid subscribers also received the detailed Canterbury Snow Forecast for Thursday's event, — the town-by-town, pass-by-pass picture.