The Vigilant // SITREP Index 56 Elevated · De-escalating
SITREP Index 56 (Elevated), -2 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Saturday, September 12, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
CRITICAL Gaza genocide documentary ‘NAZA’ wins Special Jury Prize at Venice — AlJazeera
CRITICAL Russia’s Deployed Nuclear Warheads Hit Post-2017 High — KyivPost
CRITICAL Ukraine faces 'toughest winter' since Russia's full-scale invasion, UN official tells BBC — BBC
HIGH Where have all the Atlantic hurricanes gone? El Nino might bring record slow storm season — AP
HIGH Iran Finds Escalation Is Fruitful Path to Leverage in War With U.S. — NYT
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▼ Yemen | -7 | 51.1 (-9.5) |
| ▼ United States | -5 | 68.8 (-7) |
| ▲ Ukraine | +5 | 64.1 (+7) |
| ▼ Iran | -5 | 60.9 (-8.5) |
| ▼ Israel | -3 | 36.2 (-4.5) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| India | 74.9 | ▲ +2.5 | 86 | 64 |
| Russia | 70 | ▼ -0.5 | 88 | 52 |
| United States | 68.8 | ▼ -7 | 70 | 68 |
| Ukraine | 64.1 | ▲ +7 | 85 | 43 |
| Iran | 60.9 | ▼ -8.5 | 68 | 54 |
| Yemen | 51.1 | ▼ -9.5 | 52 | 50 |
| China | 48.1 | ▼ -0.5 | 50 | 46 |
| Brazil | 41.8 | ▼ -2 | 80 | 4 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 5 FADE OUT - LOWEST READINESS · activity 0% · 6 locations
| LOCATION | ACTIVITY |
| Extreme Pizza | QUIET —% |
| District Pizza Palace | QUIET —% |
| We, The Pizza | QUIET —% |
| Papa Johns Pizza | QUIET —% |
| Pizzato Pizza | QUIET —% |
| Domino's Pizza (Pentagon Closest) | QUIET —% |
Geopolitical Tensions
| PAIR | GPR | 7-DAY |
| USA ↔ Russia | 0 | ↓ -96.2% |
| Russia ↔ Ukraine | 1.3 | ↓ -14.9% |
| USA ↔ China | -0.4 | ↓ -240% |
| China ↔ Taiwan | 0.4 | ↓ -65.3% |
| USA ↔ Iran | 2.7 | ↑ +26.7% |
| USA ↔ Venezuela | -0.1 | → 0% |
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 6/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | SQUEEZE | JPY 30d ROC -2.6% |
| Flow | ALIGNED | BTC -2.5% / QQQ -0.4% 5d |
| Regime | RISK-ON | QQQ -2.4% vs XLP -3.0% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $77,167 · Mayer 1.1 |
| Hash Rate | GROWING | +15.3% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 63/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 764.29 | ▲0.85% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 714.88 | ▲0.87% |
| Dow Jones | 525.79 | ▲0.97% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 398.77 | ▲0.61% |
| Crude Oil | 154.9 | ▼2.2% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 17.3 | ▼4.74% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 77106 | ▼0.24% |
| Ethereum | 2519 | ▼0.82% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.95% | +0.12% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▲1.32% | Finance ▲0.67% | Energy ▲0.32% |
| Health ▼0.18% | Consumer ▲0.89% | Industrial ▲1.07% |
| Staples ▲0.35% | Utilities ▼0.31% | Materials ▲0.37% |
| Real Est ▲0.86% | Comms ▲0.99% | Semis ▲1.47% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
BAND CONDITIONS 80‑40 m daytime fair, night good; 30‑20 m day and night good; 17‑15 m day good, night poor; 12‑10 m day fair, night poor. Best windows UTC 20‑23 on 30‑20 m and 80‑40 m night, and UTC 23‑02 on 30‑20 m day‑transition and 80‑40 m night.
STATIONS OF INTEREST UVB‑76 (RU) remains a Russian numbers station, relevant as Russia’s instability index stays high (70) and nuclear warhead deployment is reported (Russia‑KyivPost). SKYKING / EAM Broadcasts (US) provide U.S. military messaging; U.S. index has fallen sharply, reflecting reduced tension after recent reports. PLA HF Network (CN) is a Chinese military channel; China’s index is modestly stable (48) and its diplomatic stance noted in joint BRICS statement with UAE (Investing). Radio Havana Cuba (CU) continues Cuban broadcasts; Cuba’s regional posture is unchanged, no specific report.
GEOPOLITICAL CORRELATION Russian stations align with a high instability score and the report of increased nuclear warhead deployment. U.S. military HF reflects the United States’ declining index and no direct report ties to current events. Chinese PLA HF links to China’s stable index and its joint BRICS diplomatic effort. No reporting directly involves Cuban or other listed stations.
MONITORING PLAN Prioritize 4625 kHz (UVB‑76) UTC 20‑02, 8992 kHz (SKYKING) UTC 20‑02, 8300 kHz (PLA HF) UTC 20‑02, 6000 kHz (Radio Havana) UTC 20‑02, and 6998 kHz (NATO STANAG 4285) UTC 20‑02 for continuous coverage.
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 110 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 5 | K-INDEX 1 | X-RAY B4.2 | WIND 409 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Fair | Good |
| 30m–20m | Good | Good |
| 17m–15m | Good | Poor |
| 12m–10m | Fair | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 16d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Anthropic — Degraded functionality for Claude Cowork on Windows major · since Sep 10 · ongoing 2d · last update Sep 11 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — MMS Delivery Failures From A Subset Of Network Subscribers In Australia To Twilio Australia Phone Numbers. minor · since Sep 4 · ongoing 8d · last update Sep 12 |
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M6.5 | Earthquake — 126 km NNE of Teluknaga, Indonesia |
| M5.1 | Earthquake — South Sandwich Islands region |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS Dell's 52-inch enormo-monitor is a tsunami of impractical fun
GOVERNMENT ‘Where do we go?’: How Israel’s ‘yellow line’ is closing in on Palestinians
DEFENSE & CONFLICT Iran and UAE back joint BRICS statement urging restraint in war
AI & MACHINE LEARNING Here's who stands to make money from the Anthropic IPO
TECHNOLOGY Some satellite companies still have an appetite for boutique launch services
BUSINESS & MARKETS BRICS leaders voice concern over Middle East, condemn unilateral sanctions at India summit
Get realtime headlines at sitrepsentinel.com 24/7/365.
Outside the Wire
Coverage surfaced by topic, not outlet — what the fixed source roster can’t see.
UN Security Council approves technical rollover of Sudan sanctions - Xinhua — news.cn
UAE urges UN Security Council to expand Sudan arms embargo nationwide — thenationalnews.com
The Vigilant is an automated daily intelligence brief, powered by SITREP Sentinel — sitrepsentinel.com.