The Vigilant // SITREP Index 64 Elevated · Escalating
SITREP Index 64 (Elevated), +1 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Wednesday, September 9, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
CRITICAL 'Sickening' racist remarks and calls for a coup: French police under investigation — Euronews
CRITICAL Germany's Merz accuses far-right AfD of calling for 'ethnic cleansing' — Reuters
CRITICAL Merz accuses AfD of ‘ethnic cleansing’ policy and cancels call with Trump — Guardian
HIGH Ukraine War News Today - Top Stories and Breaking Updates from Kyiv Post — KyivPost
HIGH U.S. Designates Ecuador’s Los Tiguerones Gang as Terrorist Group — NYT
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▲ Ukraine | +8 | 78.3 (+11.5) |
| ▼ Israel | -8 | 48.7 (-7) |
| ▲ United States | +4 | 84.8 (0) |
| ▼ India | -4 | 61.4 (-3.5) |
| ▲ Iran | +3 | 81.4 (+1.5) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| United States | 84.8 | — 0 | 70 | 100 |
| Iran | 81.4 | ▲ +1.5 | 68 | 95 |
| Russia | 81 | ▲ +5 | 88 | 74 |
| Ukraine | 78.3 | ▲ +11.5 | 86 | 71 |
| India | 61.4 | ▼ -3.5 | 86 | 37 |
| United Kingdom | 55.6 | ▼ -6 | 48 | 63 |
| China | 55.1 | ▼ -4.5 | 50 | 60 |
| Brazil | 50.8 | ▲ +39.8 | 80 | 22 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 3 ROUND HOUSE - INCREASE FORCE READINESS · activity 47% · 2 spikes · 6 locations
| LOCATION | ACTIVITY |
| Domino's Pizza (Pentagon Closest) | SPIKE 100% |
| Pizzato Pizza | SPIKE 86% |
| Papa Johns Pizza | ELEVATED 58% |
| We, The Pizza | NOMINAL 25% |
| Extreme Pizza | QUIET 10% |
| District Pizza Palace | QUIET 2% |
Geopolitical Tensions
| PAIR | GPR | 7-DAY |
| USA ↔ Russia | 0.2 | ↓ -42.4% |
| Russia ↔ Ukraine | 1.5 | ↓ -8.4% |
| USA ↔ China | -0.1 | ↓ -123.6% |
| China ↔ Taiwan | 0.8 | ↓ -26.2% |
| USA ↔ Iran | 2.5 | ↑ +25.3% |
| USA ↔ Venezuela | -0.2 | → 0% |
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 5/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | SQUEEZE | JPY 30d ROC -6.1% |
| Flow | ALIGNED | BTC -2.1% / QQQ +1.2% 5d |
| Regime | RISK-ON | QQQ -0.3% vs XLP -1.9% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $78,012 · Mayer 1.12 |
| Hash Rate | DECLINING | -4.4% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 66/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 762.4 | ▼0.46% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 716.31 | ▼0.29% |
| Dow Jones | 524.07 | ▼0.75% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 403.35 | ▲0.91% |
| Crude Oil | 149.97 | ▲2.7% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 17.56 | ▲1.5% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 78004 | ▼0.66% |
| Ethereum | 2454 | ▼1.22% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.8% | +0.02% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▲0% | Finance ▼0.42% | Energy ▲0.83% |
| Health ▼0.33% | Consumer ▼1.34% | Industrial ▼1.51% |
| Staples ▼1.15% | Utilities ▼1.17% | Materials ▼1.06% |
| Real Est ▼1.12% | Comms ▼0.62% | Semis ▲0.1% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
BAND CONDITIONS 80‑40 m daytime fair, night good; 30‑20 m day and night good; 17‑15 m day fair, night poor; 12‑10 m day and night poor. Best monitoring windows UTC 22‑00 on 30‑20 m, 80‑40 m night; UTC 00‑02 on 30‑20 m and 80‑40 m; UTC 02‑04 on 30‑20 m; UTC 04‑04:30 on 80‑40 m.
STATIONS OF INTEREST UVB‑76 (RU) remains a Russian numbers station, relevant given Russia’s high instability index. Russian Navy HF (RU) carries military traffic, also tied to Russia’s index. NATO STANAG 4285 (BE) is a utility channel from a stable NATO member, useful for cross‑checking amid rising tensions in Europe. Radio Free Asia (US) broadcasts into Asia, pertinent as the United States shows elevated instability and recent U.S. designations of foreign terrorist groups. Voice of Korea (KP) offers insight from a highly isolated regime, though no specific report links to current events.
GEOPOLITICAL CORRELATION Russia’s index of 81 and recent domestic unrest reported in French police investigations underscore the relevance of Russian stations. The United States, index 84.8, is linked to the designation of Ecuador’s Los Tiguerones gang as a terrorist group. Germany’s political controversy over far‑right rhetoric appears in multiple reports, but no German HF stations are on the roster. No reporting directly involves China, Brazil, India, or the United Kingdom.
MONITORING PLAN 4625 kHz UVB‑76 UTC 22‑04; 4445 kHz Russian Navy HF UTC 22‑04; 6998 kHz NATO STANAG 4285 UTC 22‑04; 9940 kHz Radio Free Asia UTC 22‑04; 11735 kHz Voice of Korea UTC 22‑04.
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 109 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 15 | K-INDEX 3 | X-RAY B3.8 | WIND 456 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Fair | Good |
| 30m–20m | Good | Good |
| 17m–15m | Fair | Poor |
| 12m–10m | Poor | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 13d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — MMS Delivery Delays from a Subset of Australia Subscribers to Twilio Australia Phone Numbers minor · since Sep 4 · ongoing 5d · last update Sep 7 |
Internet Disruptions
| GOV-DIRECTED | Iraq nationwide Exam Shutdown Sep 9 03:30Z–03:45Z |
| GOV-DIRECTED | Iraq nationwide Exam Shutdown Sep 8 03:30Z–03:45Z |
Source: Cloudflare Radar outage annotations, last 48 hours.
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M5.2 | Earthquake — 76 km ESE of Isangel, Vanuatu |
| M5.1 | Earthquake — 81 km ESE of Isangel, Vanuatu |
| M5 | Earthquake — 53 km W of Cafayate, Argentina |
| M5 | Earthquake — 154 km S of Sarangani, Philippines |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in China |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
Climate Anomalies
| SEVERITY | ZONE | TEMP | PRECIP |
| EXTREME | Australia warm | +12.4°F | -1.9mm |
| MODERATE | Central Asia cold | -8.3°F | +0.1mm |
| MODERATE | California cold | -6.8°F | -0.1mm |
| MODERATE | Ukraine cold | -5.8°F | -0.8mm |
Deltas vs seasonal baseline.
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS Watch: Downed trees and flooding as Hurricane Lowell batters western Hawaii
GOVERNMENT CISA Adds Four Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog
DEFENSE & CONFLICT U.S. Stocks Fall as War Escalation, Oil Spike Continue
CYBER & SECURITY UK air traffic chief rules out cyber attack after massive disruption at Heathrow
AI & MACHINE LEARNING Nepal’s Flood Relief Workers Feel the Pain of Trump’s Cuts to U.S.A.I.D.
TECHNOLOGY Suno releases its first AI music model made with record industry help
Get realtime headlines at sitrepsentinel.com 24/7/365.
Outside the Wire
Coverage surfaced by topic, not outlet — what the fixed source roster can’t see.
Nigerian Government Reportedly Enters Secret Ceasefire Agreement With Boko Haram — allafrica.com
Families grieve in the ruins of an Iranian school where a US strike killed dozens of children — durangoherald.com
The Vigilant is an automated daily intelligence brief, powered by SITREP Sentinel — sitrepsentinel.com.