The Vigilant // SITREP Index 60 Elevated · De-escalating
SITREP Index 60 (Elevated), -2 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Friday, September 4, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
HIGH Ukraine War News Today - Top Stories and Breaking Updates from Kyiv Post — KyivPost
HIGH Trump vows to open Maga Inc’s $400mn war chest after Republican pressure — FT
HIGH Witkoff and Kushner will travel to ‘end’ Russia’s war in Ukraine: Trump — AlJazeera
HIGH Russian drone strikes Ukraine's security service HQ, escalating air war — Reuters
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▼ United Kingdom | -6 | 53 (-3) |
| ▲ Iran | +5 | 68.8 (+8.5) |
| ▼ India | -5 | 60.4 (-8.5) |
| ▼ Israel | -5 | 41.2 (-4) |
| ▼ Russia | -3 | 83.2 (-4.5) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| Russia | 83.2 | ▼ -4.5 | 85 | 81 |
| Ukraine | 83.1 | ▲ +1 | 86 | 80 |
| United States | 77 | ▼ -4 | 66 | 88 |
| Iran | 68.8 | ▲ +8.5 | 67 | 71 |
| India | 60.4 | ▼ -8.5 | 83 | 38 |
| United Kingdom | 53 | ▼ -3 | 45 | 61 |
| China | 49.7 | ▼ -1 | 46 | 53 |
| Brazil | 44.4 | ▲ +1.5 | 77 | 12 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 5 FADE OUT - LOWEST READINESS · activity 21% · 6 locations
| LOCATION | ACTIVITY |
| Extreme Pizza | ELEVATED 55% |
| Domino's Pizza (Pentagon Closest) | NOMINAL 36% |
| District Pizza Palace | NOMINAL 28% |
| Papa Johns Pizza | QUIET 6% |
| We, The Pizza | QUIET 3% |
| Pizzato Pizza | QUIET 0% |
Geopolitical Tensions
| PAIR | GPR | 7-DAY |
| USA ↔ Russia | 0.5 | ↑ +18.4% |
| Russia ↔ Ukraine | 1.6 | ↓ -6.3% |
| USA ↔ China | 0.4 | ↑ +383.1% |
| China ↔ Taiwan | 1.2 | ↑ +15.7% |
| USA ↔ Iran | 2 | → +4.1% |
| USA ↔ Venezuela | -0.4 | → 0% |
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 6/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | SQUEEZE | JPY 30d ROC -4.5% |
| Flow | ALIGNED | BTC +2.6% / QQQ +0.3% 5d |
| Regime | RISK-ON | QQQ -0.6% vs XLP -0.6% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $79,720 · Mayer 1.15 |
| Hash Rate | GROWING | +12.2% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 74/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 770.19 | ▼0.39% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 718.96 | ▲0.18% |
| Dow Jones | 534.08 | ▼0.53% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 406.77 | ▼0.84% |
| Crude Oil | 141.96 | ▼0.09% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 17 | ▲0.29% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 79675 | ▼2.12% |
| Ethereum | 2452 | ▼2.14% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.77% | -0.02% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▲0.7% | Finance ▼0.79% | Energy ▼0.87% |
| Health ▼1.04% | Consumer ▼1.33% | Industrial ▲0.41% |
| Staples ▼0.8% | Utilities ▲0.12% | Materials ▼0.34% |
| Real Est ▼0.72% | Comms ▼1.19% | Semis ▲2.61% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 110 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 3 | K-INDEX 1 | X-RAY B6.1 | WIND 331 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Fair | Good |
| 30m–20m | Good | Good |
| 17m–15m | Good | Poor |
| 12m–10m | Fair | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 8d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — MMS Delivery Delays from a Subset of Twilio Long Codes to C-Spire United States minor · since Sep 2 · ongoing 46h · last update Sep 4 |
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M5.4 | Earthquake — Kermadec Islands region |
| M5.2 | Earthquake — 28 km S of Cilacap, Indonesia |
| M5.1 | Earthquake — 25 km W of Padangsidempuan, Indonesia |
| M5 | Earthquake — South Sandwich Islands region |
| M5 | Earthquake — 236 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska [TSUNAMI] |
| RED | FL — Red flood alert in Nepal |
| ORANGE | TC — Orange notification for tropical cyclone SAUDEL-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 13.05 million . |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in India |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in China |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
Climate Anomalies
| SEVERITY | ZONE | TEMP | PRECIP |
| EXTREME | Central Asia cold | -13°F | +0.2mm |
| EXTREME | Australia warm | +12.8°F | -2.5mm |
| EXTREME | California cold | -10.6°F | +0.1mm |
| MODERATE | Southern Africa warm | +7°F | +0.7mm |
| MODERATE | Middle East cold | -5.6°F | 0mm |
Deltas vs seasonal baseline.
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS Haze From Indonesian Wildfires Blankets Parts of Malaysia and Philippines
GOVERNMENT UN aims to raise nearly $50 million for Nepal flood response
DEFENSE & CONFLICT Opinion | The Inside Story of Israel’s War Room After Oct. 7
CYBER & SECURITY ‘Major potential breaches of British election law’: Inside Channel 4’s investigation into Ref…
AI & MACHINE LEARNING OpenAI agents hijacked German website before Hugging Face hack, report claims
TECHNOLOGY Medieval manuscripts are "biological time capsules" for deadly sheeppox virus
Get realtime headlines at sitrepsentinel.com 24/7/365.
Outside the Wire
Coverage surfaced by topic, not outlet — what the fixed source roster can’t see.
DOJ, X hunt hackers targeting hundreds of thousands of users — fox10phoenix.com
Personal information compromised as Quebec construction commission hit by cyberattack — montrealgazette.com
The Vigilant is an automated daily intelligence brief, powered by SITREP Sentinel — sitrepsentinel.com.