Good morning — Monday, March 23, 2026 · IBEX €17,120 · Ruled out: Trump out as President by March 31
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PolyNews
The truth verified by markets
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Good morning — Monday, March 23, 2026
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Nublado Madrid 17° · Poco nuboso Barcelona 15° · Nublado Valencia 15° · Parcial Sevilla 24° · Nublado Bilbao 15°
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US · crypto · oil
| S&P 500 |
$6,647 |
+2.2% |
| Nasdaq |
$22,163 |
+2.4% |
| Bitcoin |
$71,560 |
+5.5% |
| Brent |
$101.31 |
-9.7% |
IBEX 35 · Europe
€17,120
+2.4% today
EU heavyweights
| Santander |
€9.76 |
+5.5% |
| BBVA |
€18.67 |
+4.1% |
| Inditex |
€51.04 |
+0.9% |
| Telefónica |
€3.58 |
-0.1% |
| Iberdrola |
€19.30 |
+0.6% |
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❷ The markets say
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Ruled out
Trump out as President by March 31
Market read: ruled out. The probability of Trump being out as President by March 31 is 0% because there have been no recent developments suggesting his removal or resignation, and his recent delay on Iran attacks does not indicate any change in his presidency status.
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Ruled out
Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March
Market read: ruled out. The probability of Crude Oil hitting $65 by the end of March is 3% because recent oil prices have been higher, and there is no indication of a significant drop in the near future.
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Unlikely
Ethereum reach $2,400 in March
Market read: unlikely. The probability of Ethereum reaching $2,400 in March is 35% because the cryptocurrency market has been volatile, and recent prices have not shown a clear trend towards reaching this target.
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Ruled out
Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
Market read: ruled out. The probability of Chris Murphy winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination is 1% because it is still early in the election cycle, and there are many other potential candidates.
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Ruled out
Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026
Market read: ruled out. The probability of Claude 5 being released by March 31, 2026, is 2% because there has been no official announcement from Anthropic about the release date.
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Picked for you — S&P 500 +2.16%
S&P 500 is up 2.16% — when the tape runs, execution and fees still matter.
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❹ World in 30 seconds
Tape is cautious. Geopolitics on watch. Equities digesting the last leg.
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❺ On the wire
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Al Jazeera
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BBC News
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NPR
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BBC News
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NPR
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English-language wires (BBC, Guardian, NPR, Al Jazeera). Headlines may be trimmed.
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