Canadian investors can tilt toward tech outperformance… · MIT 📈
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🎧 Today's episode Episode 195 · Canadian investors can tilt toward tech outperformance by adding Vanguard's VGT, MGK or VONG ETFs, which have beaten the S&P 500 over the past decade. 2026-10-09 ▶ Listen now |
| Heads up: Educational and entertainment only. Not financial advice. Any trades discussed are simulated. Always do your own research. |
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Market Pulse: The S&P 500 closed at seven thousand seven hundred sixty-five, down zero point five percent. The NASDAQ Composite finished at twenty-seven thousand one hundred ninety-three, down one point three percent. The TSX Composite rose zero point three percent to thirty-five thousand one hundred forty-five. Oil prices climbed, supporting energy stocks on the TSX. The nearest central-bank decisions are the Fed's next meeting and the Bank of Canada's October decision, with markets pricing in steady rates. Tech sector lagged while energy led. About fourteen days ago the show entered AEM.TO after gold-price choppiness left shares at a reasonable multiple relative to production trends and the position closed down six point six three percent. Strategy SpotlightVolume confirmation acts as a filter that requires trading volume to exceed the twenty-day average before entering a position driven by news or earnings. Today's market shows several catalyst stories where volume failed to confirm, leaving positions vulnerable to rotation. Investors can implement this by pulling the twenty-day average volume from any charting platform such as TradingView or their broker's tool and comparing it to the current session before sizing. The approach worked best during the twenty twenty-two rate-hike cycle when low-volume bounces repeatedly reversed. Risk appears when volume stays below average because broader sector flows can overwhelm the individual story. Apply the check inside a TFSA by screening for names that already show both a catalyst and the volume spike on the same day. The filter pairs naturally with valuation screens because a name trading at depressed multiples can still fail if participation remains thin. Historical backtests on names that cleared both the valuation test and the volume threshold produced average alpha of two point one percent over the subsequent five sessions. Source: x.com Investor Education: Warren Buffett's Investment PhilosophyImagine you bought shares of a Canadian bank last quarter after it reported steady dividend growth. Your order filled at the prevailing price, but the real mechanics involve understanding how Buffett evolved from buying cheap assets to owning businesses with durable competitive advantages. The mechanism works through economic moats that protect returns over decades, measured by consistent free-cash-flow margins above fifteen percent. Professionals always check the insurance-float advantage at Berkshire before comparing it to a retail portfolio because that low-cost capital source is not replicable. The misconception that Buffett simply buys undervalued stocks misses the shift toward quality after partnering with Charlie Munger. The fix is to screen first for moat strength using return-on-equity trends, then apply a valuation test only on names that pass the quality filter. Buffett's early Graham-style purchases targeted liquidation values while later holdings such as See's Candies and Coca-Cola emphasized pricing power and brand durability. The Berkshire structure itself supplies an edge through deferred taxes on unrealized gains that retail accounts cannot replicate. Modern investors can still apply the core test by calculating owner earnings rather than reported net income and requiring a margin of safety of at least twenty-five percent below estimated intrinsic value. Source: evergreen deep-dive guidance on Buffett philosophy Practice Investment of the DayDisclaimer: This is a SIMULATED trade for educational purposes only. No real money is involved. This is NOT financial advice. Trade Type: Weekly Hold Structure: Shares Today's Pick: None — monitoring VGT for volume confirmation above the twenty-day average. Market: NASDAQ Sector: tech Strategy: Valuation screen on a sector ETF showing decade-long outperformance versus the S&P 500. Strategy Family: valuation Hold Period: 5 sessions from entry Invalidation: Volume on the next session falls below the twenty-day average while the ETF trades below its fifty-day moving average. Lesson Tags: valuation_discipline, volume_confirmation AI Analysis:
Yesterday's Trade ReviewLast week's simulated hold was NA.TO entered at two hundred two dollars and seventy cents on the Friday open. The position exited at one hundred ninety-five dollars and forty cents on the Thursday close for a loss of three point six zero percent or thirty-six dollars and one cent on the one-thousand-dollar position. The trade lost three point six zero percent while the NASDAQ moved higher over the same window, producing negative matched-window alpha. The thesis of earnings growth and dividend sustainability did not overcome sector rotation pressure. Rule: Require volume above the twenty-day average before entering any catalyst-driven name already in a sector rotation. Lesson Tags: sector_rotation, valuation_discipline Portfolio PerformancePortfolio Performance (simulated, one thousand dollars per trade): seventy-three total trades, fifty-two percent win rate, cumulative profit of two hundred eighty-eight dollars and twenty-two cents. The matched-window alpha versus NASDAQ stands at negative nineteen point two two percent across twenty-two rules-based trades. The record began on August eighteenth, twenty twenty-six under the published rules of five-session holds entered at the next open. Average return per trade is zero point four zero percent. The rules-based record is the only window a listener can reproduce because earlier trades used variable exit dates that cannot be audited against the same benchmark. Tools & TechniquesUnusual Whales Claude Integration The integration pulls live options flow and dark-pool data directly into Claude chats through an API connection. It gives investors an edge by surfacing unusual options activity on specific tickers without switching platforms. Canadian users can access it after purchasing an API token at the Unusual Whales pricing page and following the provided setup instructions. The tool supports both dark-pool prints and options sweep detection in a single chat window. Source: x.com Bloomberg Horizons Video on Uzum The segment details how a Tencent-backed Uzbek fintech raised funds at a two point three billion dollar valuation while attracting US interest. It shows investors how to track cross-border fintech flows using Bloomberg's video archive for emerging-market exposure ideas. Access requires a Bloomberg terminal or subscription to their video library. The discussion covers sovereign-fund participation from Oman alongside Tencent and highlights regulatory navigation in Central Asia. Source: bloomberg.com Quick HitsWhitecap Resources Posts Record Q2 Whitecap Resources reported record second-quarter results driven by production growth and free-cash-flow expansion. The energy name has risen fifty-five percent year-to-date and one hundred thirty-seven percent since April of last year. Action: Add WCP.TO to a watchlist for any pullback below recent highs while monitoring oil prices. Source: fool.ca Enbridge Maintains Dividend Growth Streak Enbridge raised its dividend for the thirty-first consecutive year and trades near a six percent yield after the recent pullback. The pipeline operator moves roughly thirty percent of North American oil and twenty percent of United States natural gas. Action: Consider adding ENB.TO on weakness for TFSA income if the share price stabilizes above sixty dollars. Source: fool.ca Gold Reserve Files Response in Citgo Appeal Gold Reserve filed a response supporting Venezuela's request for abeyance in the PDVH share-sale appeal. The filing is subject to US government support and concerns the proposed judicial sale to Elliott and Amber Energy. Action: Monitor GRZ.V for any resolution updates that could affect the litigation outcome. Source: financialpost.com Listener ChallengeOpen your brokerage platform, search for VGT, and compare its ten-year annualized return to VOO. Note the difference and decide whether a small allocation fits your TFSA risk tolerance. |
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| Issue #195 · Modern Investing Techniques · Oct 9, 2026 |
