Cost-effectiveness model for AI alignment-to-animals vs. alignment-in-general
Cross-posted to the EA Forum. Last September, I wrote: There’s a (say) 80% chance that an aligned(-to-humans) AI will be good for animals, but that still...
Which types of AI alignment research are most likely to be good for all sentient beings?
http://mdickens.me/2026/03/23/which_types_of_alignment_research_are_good_for_all_sentient_beings/ AI alignment is typically defined as the task of aligning...
Which types of AI alignment research are most likely to be good for all sentient beings?
Cross-posted to the EA Forum. AI alignment is typically defined as the task of aligning artificial superintelligence to human preferences. But non-human...
Worlds where we solve AI alignment on purpose don't look like the world we live in
http://mdickens.me/2026/03/20/worlds_where_we_solve_alignment_on_purpose/ (Or: Why I don’t see how the probability of extinction could be less than 25% on...
Worlds where we solve AI alignment on purpose don't look like the world we live in
(Or: Why I don’t see how the probability of extinction could be less than 25% on the current trajectory) AI developers are trying to build superintelligent...
Value Investing in the Age of AGI
http://mdickens.me/2026/03/11/value_investing_agi/ Introduction Most people who write about AI and investing fall into one of two camps: traditional...
Value Investing in the Age of AGI
Introduction Most people who write about AI and investing fall into one of two camps: traditional investors who see the high valuations of AI stocks and say...
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The Structural Return Argument Against Value Investing
http://mdickens.me/2026/03/02/structural_return_argument_against_value_investing/ Value investing had a singularly bad run from 2007 to 2020. (And it hasn’t...
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The Structural Return Argument Against Value Investing
Value investing had a singularly bad run from 2007 to 2020. (And it hasn’t done great since 2020, either.) Is that because value investing is broken, or did...
Contra "Time Series Momentum: Is It There?"
Note to email readers: Some of the formatting in this post does not render correctly in email. You may prefer to read on my website:...
Contra "Time Series Momentum: Is It There?"
Summary Time series momentum (TSMOM) is an investment strategy that involves buying assets whose prices are trending upward and shorting assets that have a...
If AI alignment is as hard as building the steam engine, we likely still die
http://mdickens.me/2026/01/10/if_alignment_is_as_hard_as_the_steam_engine/ You may have seen this graph from Chris Olah illustrating a range of views on the...
If AI alignment is only as hard as building the steam engine, then we likely still die
You may have seen this graph from Chris Olah illustrating a range of views on the difficulty of aligning superintelligent AI: Evan Hubinger, an alignment...
I'm wary of increasing government expertise on AI
http://mdickens.me/2025/12/21/government_expertise_on_AI/ Many people in AI safety, especially AI policy, want to increase government expertise. For example,...
I'm wary of increasing government expertise on AI
Many people in AI safety, especially AI policy, want to increase government expertise. For example, they want to place people with AI research experience in...
Rest in Peace Commento; Long Live Comentario
As of a few days ago, my website supported comments via Commento. If you click on that link, you will find that the page doesn’t load. Unfortunately, that...
I need the Writing Style Guide people to figure out how to put a smiley face inside parentheses
http://mdickens.me/2025/12/11/smiley_inside_parentheses/ I can’t figure out any good way to put a smiley emoticon inside parentheses. There are five choices,...
I need the Writing Style Guide people to figure out how to put a smiley face inside parentheses
I can’t figure out any good way to put a smiley emoticon inside parentheses. There are five choices, all of which are bad: Do the straightforward thing of...
I did Inkhaven
http://mdickens.me/2025/11/30/inkhaven/ I published a post every day of November as part of the Inkhaven program, in which we are required to publish a post...
I did Inkhaven
I published a post every day of November as part of the Inkhaven program, in which we are required to publish a post every day of November. Some of my...