Huttman GA Updates
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The AJC should start endorsing candidates again
June 12, 2025
Various legal shenanigans have delayed PSC races for the last few election cycles but we are finally back to having them again. I disagreed with the ultimate...
20 Year House of Cards Comes Crashing Down
March 21, 2025
Last night, the Georgia House voted by a one-vote margin to pass Governor Kemp’s tort reform bill. Three Democrats voted for the bill, which is unfortunate...
Correct positioning won't save you if you're causing friction
November 10, 2023
A Republican told me once that one of their rules for politics was that the people causing friction get punished, and along with obvious stuff like being the...
Direct Democracy for Me but Not for Thee
September 21, 2023
Though they don't have this right at the statewide level, residents of cities and counties in Georgia have a process to put questions on the ballot. 15% of...
RIP Bill Shipp
July 11, 2023
Just a quick note to say that emails like this (or blogs before it) covering politics wouldn't be able to exist without the steps that visionaries like Bill...
Police Training and How the Progressive Infrastructure Got it Wrong
June 6, 2023
I'm a supporter of the Atlanta Public Training Facility ("Cop City") so I'm pleased with the vote and pleased with democracy. In 2021, during the mayor's...
Athens lashes out
February 24, 2023
Ironically enough, the last Republican to win a fair election in a district that includes Athens/Clarke County was probably Brian Kemp, when in 2004 he...
Be Careful What You Wish For
January 24, 2023
Republicans in Georgia liked democratic legitimacy until they started losing elections again. As soon as metro collar counties like Gwinnett, Cobb, Douglas...
Report Card
December 10, 2022
Now that all the votes have been counted, a quick report card for my observations and predictions. Prediction: Warnock wins the early vote by +274k Actual:...
Election Afternoon Update
December 6, 2022
I have two data sources that are easy for me to track. One is 100% accuracy from Lumpkin County in North Georgia thanks to friend of the newsletter Roger...
Warnock wins the week
December 3, 2022
Here's the graph which shows of the 1.85mm voters compared to the early vote we would have expected 29% black and +1% D-R and we ended up with just shy of...
Steady Thursday Progress for Warnock
December 2, 2022
The mix of counties looks roughly proportional to the first time early voting happened in that you'd predict a 30% black electorate with these #'s from each...
Close but Warnock still wins Wednesday
December 1, 2022
I booked +22k votes for Warnock on Wednesday’s early vote which is a closer margin (and %) than prior days but still a big win. Have Warnock +216k total. He...
Warnock wins Tuesday by 30k votes
November 30, 2022
Another huge early vote day that was closer to even than prior days but I still have Warnock coming out with a more than +30k edge or about a 10% win on the...
Big Monday Vote - for Dems!
November 29, 2022
Including absentee ballots I booked +321k new votes for Monday, of which I'm told 300k were in person, which is a record. You might think after the big...
Huge Sunday Vote
November 28, 2022
With reports out that Monday (when voting is finally available in all 159 counties) is on pace to set a record, it’s worth looking at just how good Sunday...
Saturday voting - maybe it was smart for GOP counties to sit out
November 27, 2022
Most Republican counties opted out of Saturday voting. And Democrats took big advantage. Nearly 72k in person or mail ballots were cast yesterday and Dems...
First runoff early vote update
November 25, 2022
First a word - I think McConnell’s Senate Leadership Fund ad with Kemp really misreads the landscape. It reminds me of national Republicans who were...
Early voting stats coming tomorrow
November 22, 2022
A few counties started early voting today so we’ll have some early look at who is turning back out. Before that hits, here’s a quick comparison of the 2014...
Georgia's Missing Black Voters
November 17, 2022
Before the modern era of Georgia Democratic politics was ushered in by the candidacy of Barack Obama, the black share of the electorate (as defined by the...
A Red Wave met a Blue Sandbag Defense in Metro ATL
November 14, 2022
One thing that really struck me was the continued divergence of the two Georgia’s politically. Outside of the 11 county ARC region (more or less...
Some Election Analysis
November 10, 2022
While we wait, here’s some info that I thought was of note. F
Runoff Early Turnout 11/9
November 9, 2022
Just kidding there’s no early turnout yet.
Post Election Update 1
November 9, 2022
Just a quick note to say that
GA Election Day Update 2
November 8, 2022
I have great data from Lumpkin County (super Trump north Ga county),
GA Election Day Update 1
November 8, 2022
Don’t have much -
GA Early Voting Update 11/07
November 7, 2022
Democrats had a real monster Friday to close out early voting. For the first time on a non-weekend day the black % of the early electorate actually went up...
GA Early Voting Update 11/05
November 5, 2022
The hope was that we’d have a strong Thursday and Friday and at the very least Thursday was strong and I’m seeing a lot of photos of long lines in places...
GA Early Voting Update 11/04
November 4, 2022
It looks like we ever so slightly won the early vote on Wednesday, now back to just under +79k which is where we were after Monday. The electorate is (as...
GA Early Voting Update 11/03
November 3, 2022
Well we did slightly lose the early vote yesterday, now at +77k (was +79k) lead with those who have voted. Similar to prior days though, most Republican...
GA Early Voting Update 11/02
November 2, 2022
Sienna/NYT released their Governor # and curiously it’s pretty close to AJC (Kemp leading 50-45). But obviously their Senate # looks a little different....
GA Early Voting Update 11/01
November 1, 2022
Two big new polls: NYT (whose pollster previously showed a national R+4 generic ballot) shows Warnock up 49-46. The AJC poll shows Warnock tied at 45, and...
GA Early Voting Update 10/31
October 31, 2022
Some thoughts on the Warnock-Kemp voter. First, they obviously exist. A year ago, when it seemed possible that Kemp might lose a primary challenge to David...
GA Early Voting Update 10/30
October 30, 2022
Some thoughts on the Warnock-Kemp voter. First, they obviously exist. A year ago, when it seemed possible that Kemp might lose a primary challenge to David...
GA Early Voting Update 10/29
October 29, 2022
First a note about polls. Republican leaning pollsters like Insider Advantage seem to be flooding the zone with junk. Insider Advantage's latest Georgia poll...
GA Early Voting Update 10/28
October 28, 2022
Good afternoon, this is an early voting email update that I'll try to maintain going forward through election day. On election day, I'll use this same email...