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A Red Wave met a Blue Sandbag Defense in Metro ATL
November 14, 2022
One thing that really struck me was the continued divergence of the two Georgia’s politically. Outside of the 11 county ARC region (more or less...
Some Election Analysis
November 10, 2022
While we wait, here’s some info that I thought was of note. F
Runoff Early Turnout 11/9
November 9, 2022
Just kidding there’s no early turnout yet.
Post Election Update 1
November 9, 2022
Just a quick note to say that
GA Election Day Update 2
November 8, 2022
I have great data from Lumpkin County (super Trump north Ga county),
GA Election Day Update 1
November 8, 2022
Don’t have much -
GA Early Voting Update 11/07
November 7, 2022
Democrats had a real monster Friday to close out early voting. For the first time on a non-weekend day the black % of the early electorate actually went up...
GA Early Voting Update 11/05
November 5, 2022
The hope was that we’d have a strong Thursday and Friday and at the very least Thursday was strong and I’m seeing a lot of photos of long lines in places...
GA Early Voting Update 11/04
November 4, 2022
It looks like we ever so slightly won the early vote on Wednesday, now back to just under +79k which is where we were after Monday. The electorate is (as...
GA Early Voting Update 11/03
November 3, 2022
Well we did slightly lose the early vote yesterday, now at +77k (was +79k) lead with those who have voted. Similar to prior days though, most Republican...
GA Early Voting Update 11/02
November 2, 2022
Sienna/NYT released their Governor # and curiously it’s pretty close to AJC (Kemp leading 50-45). But obviously their Senate # looks a little different....
GA Early Voting Update 11/01
November 1, 2022
Two big new polls: NYT (whose pollster previously showed a national R+4 generic ballot) shows Warnock up 49-46. The AJC poll shows Warnock tied at 45, and...
GA Early Voting Update 10/31
October 31, 2022
Some thoughts on the Warnock-Kemp voter. First, they obviously exist. A year ago, when it seemed possible that Kemp might lose a primary challenge to David...
GA Early Voting Update 10/30
October 30, 2022
Some thoughts on the Warnock-Kemp voter. First, they obviously exist. A year ago, when it seemed possible that Kemp might lose a primary challenge to David...
GA Early Voting Update 10/29
October 29, 2022
First a note about polls. Republican leaning pollsters like Insider Advantage seem to be flooding the zone with junk. Insider Advantage's latest Georgia poll...
GA Early Voting Update 10/28
October 28, 2022
Good afternoon, this is an early voting email update that I'll try to maintain going forward through election day. On election day, I'll use this same email...
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