GOOGL -7.1% (3.4σ) | HH $2.92 | 9 others
Weather
6-10 Day Outlook For Jul 29 - Aug 02, 2026 map
8-14 Day Outlook For Jul 31 - Aug 06, 2026 map
Gas-weighted HDD, next 7 days: 0 total (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)
Pop-weighted CDD, next 7 days: 93 total (10, 12, 14, 15, 15, 14, 13)
HDD/CDD vs. normal: no free source (CPC normals file not located; forecast level shown instead)
Natural gas
Henry Hub front month $2.92 (-0.3%, 0.1σ)
Front/second (Q26/U26): -0.004 - contango
Widow-maker H27/J27: +0.170 (H 3.047 / J 2.877)
Storage 3056 Bcf (+32 w/w, +171 vs 5-yr, -19 vs yr-ago)
Production (marketed, monthly proxy 2026-04): 122.3 Bcf/d, +4.1% y/y
Regional basis (Waha, Algonquin, SoCal, TZ6, AECO): no free source (no free daily marks)
LNG feedgas noms (Sabine, Corpus, Freeport, Plaquemines): no free source (pipeline EBB data is paid)
Power burn (daily): no free source (weekly/monthly only)
Baker Hughes rig count: no free source (published as web XLSX, fetch not wired yet)
Power
ERCOT North DA $58.96 (prev $63.70) - heat rate 20.2 (prev 21.8) - spark $37.09 (prev $41.76)
PJM West DA $37.85 (prev $48.19) - heat rate 13.0 (prev 16.5) - spark $15.98 (prev $26.26)
CAISO SP15 DA $45.53 (prev $47.37) - heat rate 15.6 (prev 16.2) - spark $23.66 (prev $25.44)
Global gas & carbon
TTF €61.90/MWh (~$20.65/MMBtu) -1.0%
JKM $21.83/MMBtu -0.8%
Cargo arb JKM−HH: $18.91/MMBtu; TTF−HH $17.73
CCA / RGGI allowances: no free source (no free daily marks)
Crude
WTI $92.19 (+6.2%, 2.0σ)
Brent $100.69 (+7.0%, 2.2σ)
Energy equities
Google capex signal (capex, guidance)
Google raised capex guidance to $205B, reflecting heavy AI infrastructure investment, and unfulfilled purchase commitments jumped to $811B.
- Alphabet beats Q2 earnings on cloud growth, raises capex to $205B - eciks.org
- Google's Unfulfilled Purchase Commitments Soar to $811 Billion, Capex Guidance Raised to $205 Billion - finance.biggo.com
Amazon capex signal (capex)
Headlines do not provide specific capex figures or recent news that would explain current market sentiment for Amazon.
- Amazon: Why The CapEx Surge Makes Me More Bullish, Not Less (NASDAQ:AMZN) - Seeking Alpha
KMI $32.77 (+0.9%, 0.7σ)
Kinder Morgan delivered record Q2 results with 12% EBITDA growth, driven by strong natural gas infrastructure demand across its portfolio. The company's earnings narrative remains bullish heading into Q2 2026, with EPS growth reinforcing investor confidence in the business model. This performance flows to price through two channels: sustained cash generation supporting the dividend yield that anchors KMI's valuation, and confidence in capital deployment into high-demand U.S. natural gas infrastructure projects. As a midstream operator, KMI benefits directly when throughput rises on existing systems and when new capacity commands premium returns. Watch KMI's capital guidance updates and project sanctioning announcements, particularly around LNG export terminal connections and interstate pipeline expansions. These signal management's conviction on natural gas demand durability—the core assumption beneath current multiples.
- Plugging In: How Kinder Morgan Powers Up Profits - MarketBeat
- Kinder Morgan (KMI) Stock EPS Growth Reinforces Bullish Earnings Narrative In Q2 2026 - simplywall.st
- Kinder Morgan Sees High Demand for U.S. Natural Gas Infrastructur... - Industrial Info Resources
LNG $271.99 (+1.7%, 1.0σ)
↳ LNG up 1.7% as Middle East supply risk concerns support energy prices, though institutional investor positioning shows mixed signals with both position increases and reductions.
NVDA $208.76 (-1.6%, 0.7σ)
↳ NVDA down 1.6% despite securing $1.5B chip packaging deals and expanding domestic production capacity, suggesting other market factors are weighing on the stock.
Quiet: NRG +2.2% · WMB +1.0% · VST +1.3% · EQT -1.1% · DVN +0.9% · AR -0.6% · RRC +0.3% · TLN +0.5% · CEG +0.3%
Friday recall
Close the email and answer out loud. Answers at the very bottom.
- Where did Henry Hub close each day this week?
- What's the widow-maker (Mar/Apr) spread into the weekend?
- Where did SP15 day-ahead print this week?
- What was Thursday's storage number vs. the 5-year?
- HH: Mon 2.86 Tue 2.87 Wed 2.92 Thu 2.92
- H/J: +0.170
- SP15: Mon 44.52 Tue 47.16 Wed 47.37 Thu 45.53
- Storage: +32 Bcf to 3056 (+171 vs 5-yr)