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August 18, 2026

ERCOT North +31.6% (3.1σ) | HH $2.69 | 5 others

ENERGY BRIEF · Tue Aug 18, 2026 · session Aug 17
THE NUMBER
$2.69
Henry Hub front month
-1.6%, 0.7σ

Weather

6-10 Day Outlook For Aug 23 - 27 2026 map

8-14 Day Outlook For Aug 25 - 31 2026 map

Gas-weighted HDD, next 7 days: 0 total (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

Pop-weighted CDD, next 7 days: 78 total (13, 12, 12, 11, 10, 10, 10)

HDD/CDD vs. normal: no free source (CPC normals file not located; forecast level shown instead)

Natural gas

Henry Hub front month $2.69 (-1.6%, 0.7σ)

↳ Henry Hub front month fell 1.6% on mild weather reducing demand and domestic supply swelling beyond current consumption needs.

Front/second (U26/V26): -0.039 - contango

Widow-maker H27/J27: +0.120 (H 2.894 / J 2.774)

Storage 3153 Bcf (+36 w/w, +182 vs 5-yr, -33 vs yr-ago)

Production (marketed, monthly proxy 2026-05): 121.8 Bcf/d, +3.8% y/y

Regional basis (Waha, Algonquin, SoCal, TZ6, AECO): no free source (no free daily marks)

LNG feedgas noms (Sabine, Corpus, Freeport, Plaquemines): no free source (pipeline EBB data is paid)

Power burn (daily): no free source (weekly/monthly only)

Power

TIER 2

ERCOT North DA $36.37 (prev $27.63) - heat rate 13.5 (prev 10.1) - spark $16.19 (prev $7.14)

CAISO SP15 DA $46.07 (prev $39.70) - heat rate 17.1 (prev 14.5) - spark $25.90 (prev $19.20)

PJM West DA $72.32 (prev $52.13) - heat rate 26.9 (prev 19.1) - spark $52.14 (prev $31.64)

Global gas & carbon

TTF €61.76/MWh (~$20.97/MMBtu) +0.5% (+0.5%, 0.1σ)

JKM $21.61/MMBtu +1.9%

Cargo arb JKM−HH: $18.92/MMBtu; TTF−HH $18.28

CCA / RGGI allowances: no free source (no free daily marks)

Crude

WTI $84.50 (+2.5%, 0.7σ)

Brent $90.87 (+2.7%, 0.6σ)

Energy equities

Don't miss what's next. Subscribe to Energy Brief:
← Newer TLN -11.0% (2.9σ) | HH $2.78 | 12 others Older → DVN +3.3% (1.4σ) | HH $2.73 | 7 others
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