UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez
Date: Saturday 10/19 at 4PM ET
Broadcast: ESPN+
Venue: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Bouts: 11
SPLITS:
PREDICTIONS:
MAIN CARD:
Fluffy defeats Pereira (ITD)
I see Fluffy scoring takedowns out the gate. Between the circus moves from Pereira and the ground control from Fluffy, I have gas tank concerns for Pereira. If Tristan Connelly can completely nullify the wild stuff from Pereira, you think Fluffy cant as well? Plus we got five rounds here. Love the price.
Phillips defeats Font (DEC)
I could be off, but if you go for a takedown on Font, its pretty much a lock. Kyler has landed in 6 of his last 7 fights and I believe he goes back to the grappling here as well. On the feet he’ll have the speed against the 37 year old Font as well, but as always, you still gotta be careful, as Font’s volume will begin to weigh on you. Not sure if he’ll be able to put him away, but I do like Phillips in this matchup.
Johnson defeats Sumudaerji (SUB)
Here me out. I think Johnson has a legit shot here to secure his first UFC submission. Johnson has been on a little run here and for me is slightly better everywhere. I see a 29-28/30-27 type fight here but in the back of my mind, every UFC fighter that has locked in a submission on this guy, has forced the tap. Go get it “InnerG!”
Hadley defeats Smotherman (ITD)
Props to Smotherman for stepping up here, but Hadley’s experience and level of opposition compared to Smotherman’s is levels above.
Elkins defeats Pineda (O1.5)
While Elkins leaks all over the octagon, he’ll keep awkwardly coming forward which should eventually frustrate Pineda. Pineda probably owns the first then Elkins gets pummeled abit, puts it in gear and goes to work. -10000 on the blood: YES is a lock.
PRELIMS:
Almabayev defeats Nicolau (DEC)
Matsumoto defeats Katona (DEC)
Edwards defeats Vidal (DEC)
Penne defeats Reed (SUB)
Martinez defeats Ardelean (DEC)
Despaigne defeats Lane (KO)
BET CONSIDERATIONS:
Fluffy -135
Font/Phillips O2.5 -180
Johnson by SUB +350 (1 time for the squad!)
Elkins/Pineda O1.5 -165 (ALT)
Penne +155
Despaigne RD 1 KO -160 (can find -115’s out there)
Fluffy + Johnson +147
add Despaigne +218
add Almabayev +365
FANTASY PROJECTIONS:
AUTO OPTO LINES:
DraftKings
Manual
Despaigne/Phillips/Hernandez/Elkins/Hadley/Katona
Phillips/Edwards/Hernandez/Elkins/Hadley/Penne
Despaigne/Edwards/Hernandez/Elkins/Hadley/Penne
Fanduel
Manual
Hernandez/Elkins/Reed/Johnson/Despaigne/Ardelean
Hadley/Pineda/Hernandez/Johnson/Vidal/Despaigne
Hernandez/Pineda/Johnson/Despaigne/Matsumoto/Ardelean