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May 22, 2026

US pauses $14bn Taiwan arms sale amid Iran conflict, risking deterrence posture in Pacific

Also: Anthropic co-founder predicts AI-assisted Nobel discovery within a year, AI-designed successors by 2028‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 

X-Risk Daily

Friday 22 May 2026

Geopolitics & Conflict
US pauses $14bn Taiwan arms sale amid Iran conflict, risking deterrence posture in Pacific
On 22 May 2026, the United States paused a $14 billion arms package to Taiwan, citing concerns about munitions stockpiles amid its ongoing conflict with Iran.

Also in this issue

Transformative AI
Anthropic co-founder predicts AI-assisted Nobel discovery within a year, AI-designed successors by 2028
Geopolitics & Conflict
House Republicans cancel vote on Iran war powers resolution as congressional support erodes
Fanatical & Malevolent Actors
Hungary's new government proposes eight-year term limit, blocking Orbán's return
Geopolitics & Conflict
Trump reverses Poland troop decision, deploying 5,000 US soldiers after Pentagon cancellation
Research
UK AI Safety Institute warns that current methods for auditing and monitoring AI systems are likely to degrade as capabilities advance
Research
METR finds frontier AI models capable of initiating rogue deployments within lab infrastructure

… and 44 more in the full briefing

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