Anthropic co-founder predicts 60%+ chance of fully automated AI R&D by end of 2028

        May 20, 2026

Anthropic co-founder predicts 60%+ chance of fully automated AI R&D by end of 2028

Also: WHO warns Ebola outbreak in central Africa may be spreading faster than surveillance suggests‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 

                X-Risk Daily

                Wednesday 20 May 2026

Transformative AI

Anthropic co-founder predicts 60%+ chance of fully automated AI R&D by end of 2028

Jack Clark, co-founder of Anthropic, assigned a greater than 60% probability that AI systems will be capable of fully autonomous research and development by the end of 2028, according to Axios.

            Also in this issue

Biosecurity

WHO warns Ebola outbreak in central Africa may be spreading faster than surveillance suggests

Geopolitics & Conflict

US and Iran exchange threats as nuclear negotiations stall, military escalation looms

Geopolitics & Conflict

Trump calls off planned Iran strike following Gulf state intervention

Transformative AI

US proposes AI safety dialogue with China as primary substantive outcome of Trump-Xi summit

Research

Study finds language models learn false claims as true despite explicit training warnings

Research

AI safety monitors fail to detect dangerous actions in long transcripts, missing attacks up to 30 times more often

            … and 44 more in the full briefing

Read today's briefing →

            Prefer a weekly digest? Click ‘manage your subscription’ below.

            Got thoughts on today’s briefing? Just reply to this email — I’ll read and reply!

            Generated automatically from 11 sources including Transformer, Sentinel,
            Epoch AI, LessWrong, and EA Forum.

                                Don't miss what's next. Subscribe to X-Risk Daily:

                        Name (required)

                        Frequency

            Email address (required)