The Vigilant // SITREP Index 62 Elevated · De-escalating
SITREP Index 62 (Elevated), -1 vs yesterday
DAILY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF · Wednesday, September 2, 2026
SITREP INDEX
The SITREP Index (0–100) blends a structural conflict base (UN/HDX HAPI) with a live news-velocity layer across 56 sources. Higher = greater global instability; a directional signal, not a forecast. |
⚠ Alerts
CRITICAL Israel kills or injures 7 children a day in Lebanon invasion, report says — AlJazeera
HIGH Trump doubles down on Canada trade war as talks remain stalled – US politics live — Guardian
HIGH Ukraine War News Today - Top Stories and Breaking Updates from Kyiv Post — KyivPost
HIGH Struggling Republicans urge Trump to open Maga Inc’s $400mn war chest — FT
HIGH Trump aides seek 'quiet' in Iran war but say attacks may intensify after November elections — Reuters
Today's Movers
| COUNTRY | COVERAGE Δ | INDEX |
| ▲ Iran | +4 | 83.3 (0) |
| ▲ United States | +3 | 83 (0) |
| ▲ Russia | +2 | 92.7 (+2) |
| ▲ China | +2 | 52.2 (+2.5) |
| ▼ Ukraine | -1 | 67.2 (-2) |
The Board
| COUNTRY | INDEX | Δ | CONFLICT | NEWS |
| Russia | 92.7 | ▲ +2 | 85 | 100 |
| Iran | 83.3 | — 0 | 67 | 100 |
| United States | 83 | — 0 | 66 | 100 |
| Ukraine | 67.2 | ▼ -2 | 86 | 48 |
| India | 58.4 | ▼ -2 | 83 | 34 |
| United Kingdom | 52.5 | ▼ -1.5 | 45 | 60 |
| China | 52.2 | ▲ +2.5 | 46 | 58 |
| Germany | 48.9 | — 0 | 49 | 49 |
Country index, day change, and the two component scores (0–100): conflict base + news-velocity.
Pentagon Pizza Index
DEFCON 3 ROUND HOUSE - INCREASE FORCE READINESS · activity 33% · 2 spikes · 6 locations
| LOCATION | ACTIVITY |
| Pizzato Pizza | SPIKE 82% |
| District Pizza Palace | SPIKE 46% |
| Extreme Pizza | ELEVATED 40% |
| We, The Pizza | NOMINAL 27% |
| Papa Johns Pizza | QUIET 5% |
| Domino's Pizza (Pentagon Closest) | QUIET —% |
Geopolitical Tensions
| PAIR | GPR | 7-DAY |
| USA ↔ Russia | 0.4 | ↓ -12.8% |
| Russia ↔ Ukraine | 1.6 | ↓ -9.4% |
| USA ↔ China | 0.4 | → 0% |
| China ↔ Taiwan | 1.1 | → -4.9% |
| USA ↔ Iran | 2 | → +3.5% |
| USA ↔ Venezuela | -0.3 | → 0% |
Source: PizzINT (pizzint.watch) — Google Maps activity at Pentagon-area pizza spots as a readiness proxy. Tensions: GDELT GPR, 7-day avg vs prior week.
Market Radar
OVERALL BUY 4/7 bullish
| SIGNAL | READ | BASIS |
| Liquidity | SQUEEZE | JPY 30d ROC -2.7% |
| Flow | ALIGNED | BTC -1.0% / QQQ -0.3% 5d |
| Regime | DEFENSIVE | QQQ -1.1% vs XLP +0.2% 20d |
| BTC Trend | BULLISH | BTC $77,032 · Mayer 1.11 |
| Hash Rate | STABLE | -0.4% 30d |
| Mining Cost | PROFITABLE | |
| Fear & Greed | Greed | 63/100 |
| EQUITIES | ||
| S&P 500 | 765.16 | ▲0.44% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 709.24 | ▲0.23% |
| Dow Jones | 530.62 | ▲0.54% |
| COMMODITIES | ||
| Gold | 402.78 | ▲1.52% |
| Crude Oil | 141.15 | ▲0.11% |
| VOLATILITY | ||
| Volatility (VIX) | 17.28 | ▼2.92% |
| CRYPTO | ||
| Bitcoin | 77033 | ▼0.1% |
| Ethereum | 2381 | ▼1.21% |
| RATES | ||
| US 10Y Treasury | 4.79% | +0.04% |
Levels as of compile time; figures are end-of-prior-session/intraday snapshots.
Sector Heatmap
| Tech ▼0.02% | Finance ▲0.8% | Energy ▲0.51% |
| Health ▲0.75% | Consumer ▲0.24% | Industrial ▲0.03% |
| Staples ▲0.33% | Utilities ▲0.26% | Materials ▲1.69% |
| Real Est ▼0.7% | Comms ▲1.39% | Semis ▲0.96% |
S&P sector ETFs, day change as of compile time.
SIGINT Brief
Solar & Propagation
| SFI 139 | SUNSPOTS 76 | A-INDEX 6 | K-INDEX 2 | X-RAY C1.4 | WIND 380 km/s |
| BAND | DAY | NIGHT |
| 80m–40m | Fair | Good |
| 30m–20m | Good | Good |
| 17m–15m | Good | Fair |
| 12m–10m | Fair | Poor |
Solar data: NOAA SWPC. Band conditions computed from SFI + Kp. Assessment generated at compile time.
Down-Detector
| ⚠ ONGOING | Cloudflare — Incorrect geo location for some Cloudflare WARP users minor · since Aug 27 · ongoing 6d · last update Sep 1 |
| ⚠ ONGOING | Twilio — SMS Delivery Receipt Delays from a Subset of Twilio Phone Numbers to Telefonica El Salvador minor · since Aug 21 · ongoing 12d · last update Sep 2 |
Disaster Watch
| EVENT | DETAIL |
| M5.9 | Earthquake — southern East Pacific Rise |
| M5.6 | Earthquake — 71 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico |
| M5.6 | Earthquake — 159 km WSW of Abepura, Indonesia |
| M5.4 | Earthquake — 83 km S of Isangel, Vanuatu |
| M5.4 | Earthquake — 53 km W of Bulolo, Papua New Guinea |
| M5.3 | Earthquake — 66 km NNW of Arthurs Point, New Zealand |
| M5.2 | Earthquake — 78 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska |
| M5.2 | Earthquake — South Sandwich Islands region |
| RED | FL — Orange flood alert in Nepal |
| ORANGE | TC — Orange notification for tropical cyclone SAUDEL-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 13.05 million . |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in India |
| ORANGE | FL — Orange flood alert in China |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croati |
| ORANGE | DR — Drought is on going in Madagascar |
Climate Anomalies
| SEVERITY | ZONE | TEMP | PRECIP |
| MODERATE | Central Asia cold | -8.6°F | +0.1mm |
| MODERATE | California cold | -8.3°F | +0.1mm |
| MODERATE | Australia warm | +7.4°F | -2.5mm |
| MODERATE | Southern Africa warm | +5.4°F | -0.6mm |
Deltas vs seasonal baseline.
The Brief
GEOPOLITICS After the Earthquake, They Used A.I. to Mobilize Aid
GOVERNMENT Communicating Under Pressure: Best Practices for Service Providers
DEFENSE & CONFLICT US-Iran war: Old videos falsely claim to show new attacks on American bases
CYBER & SECURITY Criminals publish data of 8.7m people after airports hack
AI & MACHINE LEARNING OpenAI's Hugging Face hack reveals questions about AI predictability
TECHNOLOGY 1Password wades into a right-wing mess after funding a Linux project
Get realtime headlines at sitrepsentinel.com 24/7/365.
The Vigilant is an automated daily intelligence brief, powered by SITREP Sentinel — sitrepsentinel.com.