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October 7, 2025

Carriers Blank Sailings at Pandemic Pace While Playing Victim

OPENING HOOK

Welcome to another episode of 'Supply Chain Theater' where carriers blank sailings at pandemic levels while crying about overcapacity. We analyzed 50 articles (avg quality: 75%) from the last 24 hours of maritime melodrama.


KEY INSIGHTS

Here's what's really happening: Carriers are scrapping sailings at pandemic pace with operating margins below breakeven on key routes. But here's the kicker - they're still prioritizing market share over profitability, which is corporate speak for 'we built too many ships and now we're all playing chicken.' This isn't about demand weakness; it's about what happens when you order 700+ megaships during a boom and they all hit the water during a bust. Meanwhile, Trump's announcing farmer bailouts as China shuns U.S. crops - déjà vu 2018 anyone? The real story: agricultural supply chains are becoming geopolitical weapons, and heavy truck tariffs start November 1st. If your business relies on cross-Pacific trade or uses imported trucks, buckle up for a bumpy Q4. The capacity crunch is manufactured, but the rate volatility is very real.


INDUSTRY TERM DEEP DIVE

Blank Sailing - Emerged in the 1990s from maritime practice of leaving schedule slots 'blank' on booking systems during weather delays. Originally used for operational necessity, evolved into systematic capacity management tool post-2008 financial crisis. Now it's standard carrier manipulation: deliberately skip scheduled port calls to artificially tighten capacity and prop up rates. Modern usage: when carriers say 'market adjustment,' they mean 'we're hiding ships to jack up prices.' Strategic implication: shippers with flexible timing can exploit these gaps, while just-in-time operations get squeezed.


OBSCURE FACT

Qatar just lifted its total maritime navigation ban after GPS disruptions forced a complete shipping blackout on October 4th. Daytime navigation is now allowed, but smaller vessels still can't move at night - turning the Persian Gulf into a part-time shipping lane.


TOPICAL JOKE

Carriers are 'temporarily adjusting capacity to maintain rate discipline.' Translation: We have too many billion-dollar floating hotels, so we're playing maritime hide-and-seek and calling it strategy. Your CFO would like a word about that ROI math.


NOTABLE MENTIONS

• FedEx opens new Bilbao facility - apparently someone sees growth where others see recession
• Virgin Atlantic Cargo goes digital via CargoAi - airlines finally catching up to what ground logistics figured out in 2015
• Greek shipowners tear into IMO net zero plans - shocking that owners of dirty ships oppose clean regulations
• Hanwha Ocean completes world-first LNG ship-to-ship transfer - because nothing says 'safety first' like transferring explosive gas between moving vessels
• Danish government tightens shadow fleet inspections - finally someone's checking the sketchy tankers everyone pretends not to notice


EXECUTIVE VOICES

TCA President Jim Ward is retiring after leading the trucking association through some of its most turbulent years. His departure comes as the industry faces Trump's heavy truck tariffs starting November 1st - interesting timing. Meanwhile, SC Ports Authority appointed Micah Mallace as new CEO, a Charleston native taking over just as East Coast ports brace for tariff-driven cargo shifts. These leadership changes signal an industry preparing for policy whiplash, not growth.


CAREER CORNER

The AI resume arms race is real - job hunters are embedding hidden instructions to trick AI screeners. For supply chain pros: emphasize cross-functional experience and crisis management skills. With blank sailings creating operational chaos, companies need people who can navigate uncertainty, not just optimize steady-state operations. Digital transformation skills remain hot, especially in freight forwarding and customs compliance.


BY THE NUMBERS

Gold approaches $4,000/ounce for the first time, signaling serious investor unease about global stability. MSC DITTE's 19,313-TEU capacity shows carriers are still deploying megaships despite blanking sailings - the contradiction is stunning. ICTSI's $130 million investment in Subic terminals suggests someone believes in long-term Asia trade growth.


CLOSING

Watch for the IMO Net Zero Framework vote next week - LNG concerns could derail the whole thing. Also tracking heavy truck tariff implementation November 1st and Q4 container rate negotiations starting Monday.

— the tm team

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