Half of all men's pairs sold are a 9 to 11, so a guess in that band is right more often than anywhere else. It is still close to a coin flip, which is why the better route is to find the size first.

Nike Air Force 1 '07 'Triple White'

Asics Gel 1130 'Black Pure Silver'

Air Jordan 4 Retro 'Toro Bravo' 2026

Product photos: GOAT

You want to buy someone sneakers, you cannot ask their size without spoiling the surprise, and a wrong guess means a return you may not be able to make. The usual advice is "just guess a 10". How good is that guess?

We looked at the 90 days to October 3 of GOAT resale sales. Half of men's pairs sold, 50.8%, were a size 9, 9.5, 10, 10.5 or 11, and size 10 alone was 11.7%. So a guess in that band is the most likely to fit. But about half of people sit outside it, so the better plan is to find the size without asking.

Read the full post on SneakerPulse

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Numbers are completed resale sales recorded on GOAT and StockX; each post states its window and sample sizes. Past prices, not a forecast or investment advice.

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