Predict This: Nevada sues to block Kalshi
The Signal Nevada has moved from threat to injunction posture against Kalshi, filing suit in state court to block the platform from offering sports-linked...
Predict This: CFTC escalates fight over prediction markets
The Signal The CFTC just shifted from watching the prediction-markets jurisdiction fight to litigating it—publicly and aggressively. Chair Michael Selig...
Predict This: DraftKings doubles down on prediction markets
The Signal DraftKings is no longer treating prediction markets as a defensive experiment—it’s pitching them as a core, multi-business-line growth wedge...
Predict This: Polymarket hit by alleged insider bets
The Signal Polymarket just took its most concrete “insider trading” reputational hit yet: Israeli prosecutors allege a military reservist and a civilian used...
Predict This: Robinhood touts prediction market “supercycle”
The Signal Robinhood is no longer treating prediction markets as a novelty add-on—it’s positioning them as a core growth engine, with CEO Vlad Tenev calling...
Predict This: SEC, CFTC signal tighter market oversight
The Signal Washington just put prediction markets on notice from both sides of the split federal perimeter. In a Senate hearing, SEC Chair Paul Atkins...
Predict This: ICE launches Polymarket Signals tool
The Signal ICE just pulled Polymarket data into the institutional plumbing. On Tuesday, Intercontinental Exchange launched Polymarket Signals and Sentiment,...
Predict This: Kalshi reports $1B+ Super Bowl volume
The Signal Kalshi says Super Bowl trading volume surpassed $1B, with $871M on Sunday alone, making the game a breakout “proof-of-distribution” moment for...