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I will say this … when Tommy Pham is my top play of the day I’m immediately thinking that the day is going to be crazy. The question becomes “crazy good” or crazy bad?” This season has told us the smart play is to temper our exposure when the list has lots of rando players on it (like today), but the numbers do look solid for pretty much all of them.

Let’s get into the plays for Friday, August 22nd. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Tommy Pham (PIT) vs. Antonio Senzatela [GRADE: A-]

Senzatela amazes me that he manages to be a starting pitcher in this league season after season despite his stats. Props to him for making that bag regardless!

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• Dansby Swanson / Justin Turner (CHC) vs. Tyler Anderson [GRADE: A-]

L45 numbers listed above for Swanson which are strong. Turner’s numbers are similar, but he is also 10-20 with 5 HRs in his career off Anderson, so I imagine you’ll see him turn up on a lot of people’s lists today.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!