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Keeping a fairly tight list today … it’s a short slate on a getaway Thursday, but the weather is also cold and gross in several games. I could try to force some more plays based solely on the numbers, but it just ain’t hittin’ weather in those cities, so I’d rather fade and miss out on somebody who got lucky vs. sinking all of OUR money into crap weather.

Let’s jump into the plays for Thursday, May 22nd. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Fernando Tatis (SD) vs. Bowden Francis [GRADE: A]

I included 2024 numbers to show how well Tatis crushes the fastball/splitter mix that Francis throws. Definitely my favorite pick of the day.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u for boosts and such), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• Bryce Harper and Phillies gang vs. German Marquez [GRADE: A]

The only issue here is trying to figure out which Philly players to use and where to find odds that aren’t terrible. I may just take the over for the game and have some exposure to Harper, but Bohm, Schwarber and Castellanos are all worthy of consideration as well.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.2-0.3u), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays

💰 THE RECAP 💰

These are all of our picks from Tuesday, May 20th …

✅ Kyle Schwarber: 1-4, HR, RBI, 2 runs

✅ Bryce Harper: 3-5, 2 RBI, run

✅ Trea Turner: 2-5, run

✅ Nick Castellanos: 1-4, RBI, run

❌ JT Realmuto: 0-5, run

✅ Shohei Ohtani: 1-4, double, run

✅ Freddie Freeman: 2-4, double, run

✅ Max Muncy: 1-3, RBI

✅ Matt Olson: 1-4, HR, RBI, run

❌ Jacob Wilson: 0-1 (got hit by a pitch and left the game)

✅ Kyle Stowers: 2-3

✅ Riley Greene: 3-4, HR, 4 RBI, run

Another strong day!!!

OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!