Plunder's Pitch Mix Picks

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August 8, 2025

What Kurtz the Most

Happy Friday … let’s have ourselves a BANGER of a weekend!!!

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Happy Friday … let’s have ourselves a BANGER of a weekend!!!

Let’s dive into the plays for Friday, August 8th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Nick Kurtz (ATH) vs. Tomoyuki Sugano [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

19-30

.633

.619

.700

101.3

87.5%

Top play of the day for sure with Kurtz absolutely destroying the pitch mix. I think JJ Bleday is worth a sprinkle as well. Low sample size, but he’s been hot since he returned to the team.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Kerry Carpenter / Gleyber Torres (DET) vs. Kyle Hendricks [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

5-8

.625

.805

.875

96.7

71.43%

Carpenter has been raking since he returned from the IL, and while this is a tiny sample I went back L90 as well and things were equally as strong. Gleyber worth consideration, but Carpenter definitely first choice.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles (0.7u-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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