Vlad the Impaler
Yeah … this Vlad pictured was a very bad dude, so we’re gonna root for “New Vlad” instead and hope our Blue Jay friend starts our Saturday off with a bang.
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Yeah … this Vlad pictured above was a very bad dude, so we’re gonna root for “New Vlad” instead and hope our Blue Jay friend starts our Saturday off with a bang. Quick heads up … I’m traveling some this weekend and will be out of cell range for part of it. If there are any weather updates or pitching changes, I won’t be able to send over any updates, so you’ll just need to keep an eye out on your own.
Let’s jump into the plays for Saturday, May 24th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Vlad Guerrero / Bo Bichette (TOR) vs. Shane Baz [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8-24 | .333 | .390 | .292 | 91.5 | 54.55% |
If the movie character Billy Madison were here he’d say, “Shane Baz? More like Shane BAD!!!!” Baz has been pretty lousy of late and both Vladdy and Bichette stack up very well. Above numbers are last 14 for Guerrero.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u for boosts and such), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Will Benson / Gavin Lux (CIN) vs. Colin Rea [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-15 | .333 | .436 | .400 | 98 | 78.73% |
Rea has been OK this year, but he’s had issues with lefties. Both are in play here, but Benson’s power numbers (above) are much better than Lux so he’s my first choice.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.2-0.3u), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays
💰 THE RECAP 💰
These are all of our picks from Thursday, May 22nd …
❌ Fernando Tatis: 0-4
✅ Bryce Harper: 1-4, double, RBI
❌ Alec Bohm: 1-3
✅ Gavin Sheets: 3-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 2 runs
✅ Luis Arraez: 2-5, RBI
❌ Riley Greene: 0-4
❌ Kerry Carpenter: 1-3
❌ Colt Keith: 0-4
❌ Drake Baldwin: 0-5
✅ Nolan Schanuel: 1-3, run
✅ Miguel Andujar: 1-5, run
First red day in a while, but not a total washout either.
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!