Time For a Romantic Randal-lit Dinner
Free Everything Week continues! Reminder … ALL plays will be free this week (thru 7/27).
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Free Everything Week continues! Reminder … ALL plays will be free this week (thru 7/27). Also I’m offering a deal for the rest of the 2025 season (playoffs included) for only $40. Premium players are up +48u since the start of the season, so it is well worth your monies to CASH with us. SIGN UP NOW
Let’s dive into the plays for Monday, July 21st. NOTE: Stats listed are L30 unless otherwise noted and are for the first player listed (if there’s more than one).
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Randal Grichuk / Eugenio Suarez (ARI) vs. Colton Gordon [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4-11 | .364 | .578 | .636 | 95.7 | 57.14% |
Suarez homered twice yesterday so here’s hoping the hot bat continues. Listed numbers are L30 for Grichuk, who is a great play (if he plays). One risk you get with him as a lefty specialist is he often gets pinch hit for later in games, so you gotta get the goods early.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) vs. Jake Irvin [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13-36 | .361 | .401 | .250 | 92.8 | 54.84% |
Elly’s numbers are strong and he’s also batting .364 off Irvin in his career as well.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Kevin Gausman [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-19 | .368 | .492 | .526 | 92.9 | 63.64% |
Like Elly the numbers are good as well as the BvP … Judge is batting .372 in his career of Gausman.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
Will Smith (LAD) vs. David Festa [GRADE: A-]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-28 | .429 | .428 | .250 | 94 | 59.09% |
Solid across the board.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
Willy Adames (SF) vs. Bryce Elder [GRADE: B+/B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-19 | .368 | .436 | .368 | 88.9 | 50% |
Elder has been pretty lousy and Adames stacks up well against his pitch arsenal.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u), HR (0.25u)
Drake Baldwin (ATL) vs. Hayden Birdsong [GRADE: B/B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-20 | .300 | .376 | .300 | 89.8 | 33.33% |
Baldwin has been swinging the bat well of late. Hard Hit and Velo are off some, so I’d limit exposure.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.5-0.7u), HR (0.2u)
Willson Contreras (STL) vs. Austin Gomber [GRADE: B/B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-16 | .375 | .398 | .188 | 91.8 | 50% |
Worth noting as well that Contreras is 2-5 off Gomber and both hits are HRs. You will pay Coors prices for this for sure.
TARGET MARKETS: TB (0.5-0.6u), HR (0.2u)
That’s all for today. Let’s go get some GREEN!