Plunder's Pitch Mix Picks

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March 31, 2025

The Storm!! AHHHHH!!!! THE STOOOORRRRM!!!

Packed with daily picks, banking tips, and a dash of humor, I'm ready to roll for today's games!

Quick reminder: This email goes out every morning by 8a (eastern). If you don’t have it by then, something is going on with the service. If anything looks weird on your end, please email me directly at plundertheunder@gmail.com

Who you trying to get crazy with ése?

Guys … this email today is absolutely ridiculous. Today’s pitching lineup is basically “everybody’s SP5,” so we’ve got a billion places to look at.

I will say this … MANAGE YOUR BANKROLL! There’s a lot going on here. Nobody says you have to play absolutely everything, or throw a ton of money on every single play if you do. Here’s hoping we’re cashing like crazy today, but always make sure to stay within your comfort zone.

As always the top tier will be free, but you’ll need the SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM to get the rest.

I’ll also say this … I’m gonna keep the chatter and analysis to a minimum today for the sake of time. LFG!

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • A whole bunch of Phillies vs. German Marquez [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

OPS

ISO

HardHit%

57-230

.248

.385

.958

.261

62.82%

The above table is for Kyle Schwarber who’s my favorite pick of all the Phillies you could use against the garbage pitcher. The average is low, but his average is always low, and he’s hot to start the season. The Hard Hit number is ridiculous too and he’s batting .429 off Marquez with two dingers.

Alec Bohm, Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto also showed up with the mix. Bohm is batting an absurd .625 off Marquez. Realmuto has been cold to start the season so I’m less interested in him if I’m trying to manage my volume, but he’s also batting .353 of Marquez. NOTE: Realmuto also nursing an injury this weekend so caution there.

TARGET MARKETS: Schwarber: TB (1u), HR (0.3-0.5u) Bohm: H+R+R/TB (1u) and HR (0.25u), hit parlays Harper: H+R+R/TB (1u) and HR (0.25u) Realmuto: H+R+R (0.5u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage. Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value.

  • A whole bunch of Orioles vs. Sean Newcomb [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

OPS

ISO

HardHit%

15-43

.349

.586

1.572

.628

67.74%

Fun fact nobody here will care about (except my buddy Sully who also grew up in the same town as me) … Sean Newcomb is from the same tiny town in Massachusetts that ol’ Plunder is from. So in some respects I hope I’m wrong and he has a great outing, but gambling ain’t got no feelings yo!

Those insane numbers you see in the table is for Tyler O’Neil who has the perfect storm of the numbers looking good along with him starting the season swinging well and a narrative game as he faces his old team. Ramon Laureano also has crazy numbers against the pitch mix (.550 AVG and .550 ISO to name a few). [NOTE: Need to check lineups on him] Adley Rutschman also has solid numbers and is in play,

TARGET MARKETS: O’Neil: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3-0.5u), hit parlays Laureano: H+R+R/TB (0.75u), HR (0.2u) Rutschman: H+R+R ideally (0.75u), HR (0.2u)

💰 THE RECAP 💰

These are all of our picks from Saturday, March 29 …

❌ Shohei Ohtani: 0-2, 2 runs … I did manage to hit a like H+R+R boost, but that’s not good enough

✅ Yordan Alvarez: 1-4, double, RBI

❌ Oneil Cruz: 0-2, 1 run … 4 walks killed us here

❌ Matt Wallner: 0-4 … you stink!

✅ Bobby Witt: 1-4, double, RBI

✅ Bryan Reynolds: 2-5, 1 run

✅ Freddie Freeman: 2-4, HR, double, run, 2 RBIs

Finished in the green but Ohtani cost us from having a huge day. Buuuut … green is green!


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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