Plunder's Pitch Mix Picks

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October 12, 2025

Take It to the Dump(er)

ALCS day one in the house!

Happy Sunday!

Pitch Mix plays been a bit of a shit sandwich the last couple days, so I’ll probably go light today. As we already knew, playoffs is just a totally different beast … especially when it comes to pitching use. Every moment is different (and I’ve actually had some success live betting with that in mind).

For Toronto, Nathan Lukes (.379/.419/.276) and George Springer (.333/.418/.455) both have strong Pitch Mix L30 numbers. Vlad Guerrero doesn’t have any Pitch Mix numbers that are good, but he’s also been a monster this postseason so it’s hard to fully ignore him.

For Seattle, Cal Raleigh (.364/.422/.318) is the guy who stands out and he also has 3 HR off Gausman in his career.

For the game overall, I’d consider F5 u4.5, but at -125 its a little more juice than I’d prefer.

Let’s go get some GREEN!

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