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September 14, 2025

Sometimes Vlad is Vlad

Huey Lewis is a music GOD and all must respect his musical genius. OK … on to baseball.

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Side note: Huey Lewis is a music GOD and all must respect his musical genius. OK … on to baseball.

Let’s get into the plays for Sunday, September 14th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Vlad Guerrero (TOR) vs. Dean Kremer [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

10-30

.333

.500

.167

89.2

46.15%

Not every source has Kremer confirmed as the starter, but it looks like he’s the most likely candidate. Regardless, Vlad is on fire this week (and also has a .382 BvP against Kremer). So while the above numbers aren’t elite, I’m giving him somewhat of a pass because of the other factors at play.

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1.0u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • James Wood (WSH) vs. Mike Burrows [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

12-36

.333

.415

.333

102.5

80.95%

Wood has also been on fire and these numbers are pretty dang strong.

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1.0u), HR (0.2-0.3u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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