Slap On Some Chapstick
Ahoy mateys! Let’s get this Pluderiffic day underway with some Pitch Mix Bangers, shall we?
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Apologies for the delay today … I waited to send this out until I could get a better handle on the doubleheader matchups from yesterday’s rainouts.
Ahoy mateys! Let’s get this Pluderiffic day underway with some Pitch Mix Bangers, shall we? Matt Chapman makes his first appearance of the year as a top pick, so let’s see if he can come through. Fun Matt Chapman fact: He was diagnosed with Tourette's syndrome and uses it as a motivating factor for his success. Let’s hope today is a MOTIVATED day!!!
Let’s jump into the plays for Wednesday, May 14th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Matt Chapman (SF) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8-19 | .421 | .427 | .263 | 99.2 | 73.33% |
Here’s your checklist …
✅ Great Pitch Mix numbers
✅ Great BvP numbers (7-16, 333 avg)
✅ Great L7 (.317 this week)
✅ Getting to pick on E-Rod
Let’s GO! Now I will say … Chapman’s season-long numbers kinda stink so I’m not betting my kids’ college funds here but he’s certainly set up for success.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.75u-1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u for boosts and such)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Luis Castillo [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26-51 | .510 | .564 | .392 | 95.1 | 59.09% |
Ho hum … Aaron Judge again being all awesome and stuff. At what point are pitchers just going to give him the Barry Bonds treatment and never pitch to him?
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u for boosts and such), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays
💰 THE RECAP 💰
These are all of our picks from Monday, May 12 …
✅ Manny Machado: 2-3, run
✅ Kerry Carpenter: 2-5, 3 runs
✅ Dansby Swanson: 2-4, HR, 2 RBI, run
✅ Heliot Ramos: 3-4
✅ Yainer Diaz: 2-5, run
✅ Aaron Judge: 2-3, RBI, run
❌ Alex Bregman: 0-1, 2 walks
❌ Ketel Marte: 0-4
A very solid day! In related news … Alex Bregman sucks!!!
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!