Plunder's Pitch Mix Picks

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May 7, 2025

Shohei Us the Way

Anytime we can get behind the GOAT feels like a great start to the day … let’s get ourselves some GREEN!

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Anytime we can get behind the GOAT feels like a great start to the day … let’s get ourselves some GREEN!

Let’s jump into the plays for Wednesday, May 7th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Shohei Ohtani (LAD) vs. Vicente Bellozo [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

11-30

.367

.430

.300

99.9

73.91%

Hmm … this is a tough one … Greatest baseball player in vs. Vicente Bellozo. Shoot, I should charge a billion dollars for such expertise!! But seriously, the mix is dang good so we roll with the GOAT. Freddie Freeman is absolutely in play today as well, but I figured I’d give somebody else top billing for once.

TARGET MARKETS: TB (1u), HR (0.3-0.5u with promos and boosts), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Merrill Kelly [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

21-58

.362

.394

.241

94.7

56.52%

And a very happy “Pick on Merrill Kelly Day” to you too! Juan Soto is also a play for the same reason. Only real differentiation for the two is Alonso is batting .350 with 3 HR off Kelly and Soto is .250 with no HR, but everything else very similar.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays

💰 THE RECAP 💰

These are all of our picks from Monday, May 5 …

✅ Freddie Freeman: 2-5, HR, 2 RBI, 2 runs

❌ Kyle Tucker: 0-4 … whole team goes off except him

❓ Lawrence Butler: 1-6, RBI

❌ Max Muncy: 0-4

Freddie killed it but the rest was ho-hum.


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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