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August 7, 2025

Shea and His Langoliers

Anybody else remember this creepy made for TV movie based on a Steven King novel and starring the guy who played Balki on “Perfect Strangers?”

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Anybody else remember this creepy made for TV movie based on a Steven King novel and starring the guy who played Balki on “Perfect Strangers?” Bonus points if you do! Small slate today but there’s a half dozen solid plays and I’m sending them out to everyone since it’s only three matchups.

Let’s dive into the plays for Thursday, August 7th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Shea Langeliers / Brent Rooker (ATH) vs. Mitchell Parker [GRADE: A-]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

8-16

.500

.671

.583

89

33.33%

L45 numbers about for Shea, which are a tad skewed by his 3 HR game this week, but still solid. Rooker looks good too.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Kyle Stowers / Xavier Edwards (MIA) vs. Carlos Carrasco [GRADE: A-]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

17-47

.362

.478

.511

91.6

51.52%

Both have good numbers, though Edwards is always gonna. be a lower power option to consider.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles (0.7u-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

  • Jorge Polanco / Julio Rodriguez (SEA) vs. Shane Smith [GRADE: B+]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

9-32

.281

.417

.469

93.2

48%

AVG a tad low, but everything else is where we want it.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

That’s all for now … Let’s go get some GREEN!

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