Pozo the Clown
Pretty light day here during Free Everything Week with only 5 games on the schedule
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Pretty light day here during Free Everything Week with only 5 games on the schedule. Reminder … we’re running a post-All Star special of only $40 for the rest of the season. SIGN UP NOW
Let’s dive into the plays for Wednesday, July 23rd. NOTE: Stats listed are L30 unless otherwise noted and are for the first player listed (if there’s more than one).
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Jose Altuve / Isaac Paredes (HOU) vs. Luis Severino [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15-39 | .385 | .422 | .333 | 86.3 | 30.3% |
Lawd have mercy, the evil Joe Altuve hits the list today to mock us and always find a way of not cashing. But the numbers are there dammit!!!
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u), HR (0.25u)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Yohel Pozo / Nolan Arenado (STL) vs. Yu Darvish [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-16 | .375 | .512 | .500 | 90.5 | 41.67% |
Small sample for Pozo but he has had a solid July. I include Arenado because he’s batting .391 off Darvish with 3 HRs. That said, his recent Pitch Mix numbers are garbage.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u), HR (0.2u)
Zach Neto (LAA) vs. Logan Evans [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-14 | .357 | .448 | .429 | 99.9 | 77.78% |
Evans is a decent pitcher, but has had several bad starts in a row.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7), HR (0.2u)
Jordan Westburg (BAL) vs. Logan Allen [GRADE: B/B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4-11 | .364 | .422 | .273 | 91.9 | 37.5% |
Not to be confused with the “other” Logan who we just listed. (I swear those two guys always start on the same day)
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u), HR (0.2u)
That’s all for today. Let’s go get some GREEN!