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August 9, 2025

Ober the Top

Oh man … now I’m gonna go have to listen to “Meet Me Halfway” by Kenny Loggins and yell “Over the top Dad!!” in my front yard till the neighbors call the cops.

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Oh man … now I’m gonna go have to listen to “Meet Me Halfway” by Kenny Loggins and yell “Over the top Dad!!” in my front yard till the neighbors call the cops. Let’s GO!!!

Let’s dive into the plays for Saturday, August 9th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Sal Perez / Maikel Garcia (KC) vs. Bailey Ober [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

9-19

.474.

646

.632

92.3

60%

Numbers are very solid for both guys and we all aready know what a dumpster fire the Twins are.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Nick Kurtz (ATH) vs. Brandon Young [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

11-26

.423

.496

.500

97.8

77.78%

Another day, another strong matchup for Kurtz.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles (1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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