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Happy July! OK look … I’ve never claimed to be a classy or mature guy. So it is downright impossible for me to now point out that we have Dick Fitts and Emerson Hancock both pitching tonight across MLB. And let’s not forget that Rusty Kuntz is still a coach for the Royals, so he completes the immaturity trifecta.

Let’s dive into the plays for Tuesday, July 1st. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Aaron Judge vs. Kevin Gausman [GRADE: A]

These are video game-like numbers for Judge, so is also batting .342 off Gausman with 6 HR. Worth noting that Paul Goldschmidt and Giancarlo Stanton have great BvP numbers, but their Pitch Mix stats aren’t there for the past month.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.2-0.5u), parlay pieces

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• Will Smith / Max Muncy (LAD) vs. Shane Smith [GRADE: A-]

The Smith brothers (not actually brothers) battle it out tonight at Chavez Ravine and the edge goes to the Will Smith that isn’t the other Will Smith but is also not related to Shane Smith. Muncy’s numbers are very strong as well.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.2-0.3u), parlay pieces

OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!