Merry Friday Eve!
Today’s picks include top plays for Bregman, Devers, and a couple of bonuses for free subscribers!
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Shorter slate today, but still a solid crop of plays to consider. And the free peeps get a bonus couple plays as well!
Let’s jump into the plays for Thursday, April 10th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Alex Bregman / Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Chris Bassitt [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8-19 | .421 | .478 | 1.105 | .263 | 47.38% |
Above numbers are 2025 Bregman against the pitch mix. Both he and Raffy have very solid career numbers against Bassitt as well. Bregman is 10-26 (.385) with a HR and Raffy is 7-14 (.500) with 3 HRs. Both very much in play.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u), hit parlays
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value.
Bobby Witt / Sal Perez (KC) vs. Bailey Ober [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3-11 | .273 | .370 | .909 | .182 | 75% |
Neither have super exciting 2025 numbers yet for this, but both are historically solid. Also, Witt is 9-19 (.474) off Ober with 3 triples and a HR. Perez is 7-19 (.368) with 2 dingers.
TARGET MARKETS: TB (0.75-1u), HR (0.3), hit parlays
💰 THE RECAP 💰
These are all of our picks from Tuesday, April 8 …
❌ Jose Ramirez: 1-4
✅ Juan Soto: 2-4, 2 runs
❌ Elly De La Cruz: 0-4
❌ Shohei Ohtani: 1-5
❌ Mookie Betts: 1-2, walk
❌ Brandon Lowe: 1-5
✅ Kameron Misner: 1-2, triple, RBI
❌ Steven Kwan: 0-4
❌ Geraldo Perdomo: 0-2, 2 walks
❌ Ian Happ: 0-5, run
Tuesday sucked. Let’s not speak of it anymore!
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
Hey … look at you … you survived the paywall guillotine! Thanks for being awesome!
✅ THE NEXT TIER ✅
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) vs. Jonathan Cannon [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16-50 | .320 | .399 | .947 | .260 | 48.72% |
I feel like the White Sox and Guardians have already played each other 57 times this year. Manzardo doesn’t have any notable 2025 stats against the change/cutter/sinker mix yet, but his above 2024 numbers were solid.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (up to 0.75u), HR (0.25u)
Ty France (MIN) vs. Michael Wacha [GRADE: B+/B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4-11 | .364 | .388 | .871 | .091 | 60% |
Ty France??? Well that’s an interesting one to jump out, but the dang guy is 10-20 off Wacha in his career with 5 doubles. Hasn’t gotten it going much yet in 2025, but even with that he’s 4-11 against the 4-seam/change mix that are Wacha’s two main pitches. I’ll bite. I’d like to think we’re going to get some decent odds here so I’ll probably split TB and H+R+R and take a HR flier. Matt Wallner is also in play for the Twins if you wanna add some volume.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (up 0.75u), HR (0.25u)
Brandon Low (TB) vs. Jose Soriano [GRADE: B]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | OPS | ISO | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-35 | .314 | /423 | 1.057 | .29 | 44.83% |
Brandon Low likes to hurt me, so here I am again for another spanking.
TARGET MARKETS: TB/H+R+R (0.5uu), HR (0.2)
That’s all for today … Let’s go get some GREEN!