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August 3, 2025

Let's Cut Through the Crap, Vaughn

Any day I can cram a “Major League” reference into this email is a good one. Let’s have a DAY!!!!

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Any day I can cram a “Major League” reference into this email is a good one. Let’s have a DAY!!!!

Let’s dive into the plays for Sunday, August 3rd. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Andrew Vaughn / Isaac Collins / Sal Frelick (MIL) vs. Brad Lord [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

15-44

.341

.409

.341

95.1

64.1%

Rolling these two back for another day and throwing Frelick in there as well. Same deal with Collins as before (and now Frelick) … we’re looking for a single/H+R+R market.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u), singles (for Collins/Frelick … 0.5u-0.7u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Manny Machado / Luis Arraez (SD) vs. Andre Pallante [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

17-43

.395

.455

.349

98.8

73.6%

Another rerun with Machado/Arraez as well, but the matchup is great again. As before, we want more of H+R+R with Arraez, though worth noting he does have two HR against the mix.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u-1u), HR (0.2u-0.3u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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