Kyle and the Big Dumper
I mean I don’t know about you, but that totally sounds like the title of a children’s book.
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I mean I don’t know about you, but that totally sounds like the title of a children’s book. “Daddy … can we read ‘Kyle and the Big Dumper’ tonight?” Sure son! Short slate today so just a few plays to work with.
Let’s get into the plays for Thursday, August 14th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs. Brad Lord [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-40 | .350 | .527 | .650 | 100.9 | 79.31% |
Strong numbers for Schwarbs in his last 30. Brandon Marsh is right on the fringe as well, so he could be worth consideration.
TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1u), HR (0.2u)
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Cal Raleigh / Julio Rodriguez (SEA) vs. Tomoyuki Sugano [GRADE: B+]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13-44 | .295 | .435 | .477 | 96.2 | 73.33% |
The real issue here is Raleigh is batting .125 in August, so he’s pretty cold overall. J-Rod has decent numbers but it also always feels like a guessing game with him (that I lose).
TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!