It's National Bourbon Day ... Let's Get Blasted!
I mean it’s not like we NEED an excuse to drink bourbon and gamble on baseball, but it definitely helps to have one
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I mean it’s not like we NEED an excuse to drink bourbon and gamble on baseball, but it definitely helps to have one in case the kids ar elike “Why is Daddy drinking brown water and swearing at the TV?” It’s because he’s observing the HOLIDAY dammit!
Let’s dive into the plays for Saturday, June 14th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.
✅ TOP PICKS ✅
Michael Busch / Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) vs. Mike Burrows [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-42 | .333 | .438 | .429 | 94.3 | 63.33% |
Busch has the better overall numbers (see above) if you only want one of the two, but PCA is in play as well.
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u for boosts and such), parlay pieces
Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more
Ketel Marte (ARI) vs. Ryan Bergert [GRADE: A]
H/AB | AVG | wOBA | ISO | ExitVelo | HardHit% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-29 | .379 | .490 | .552 | 96.6 | 70.83% |
Also comes with a ridiculous 34.48% Barrel rate. This mofo best not sell out today!
TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.2-0.3u … 0.5 for boosts), parlay pieces
OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!