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July 22, 2025

If the Dick Fitts, Wear It

Free Everything Week continues! Plus a full day of wiener-related puns when Richard Fitts plays

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Free Everything Week continues! Plus a full day of wiener-related puns when Richard Fitts plays. Sign up for premium … it’s good, makes money and keeps me sane to write this whole thing. SIGN UP NOW

Let’s dive into the plays for Tuesday, July 22nd. NOTE: Stats listed are L30 unless otherwise noted and are for the first player listed (if there’s more than one).

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Richard Fitts [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

6-17

.353

.489

.647

95.5

72.73%

Load up on your “Dick Fitts” puns and let’s CASH!

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Spencer Steer / Austin Hays (CIN) vs. Brad Lord [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

10-19

.526

.566

.526

90.8

50%

Steer is delivering sick numbers against the mix. Hays looks great too.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

  • Kyle Stowers (MIA) vs. Stephen Kolek [GRADE: A-]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

11-31

.355

.474

.613

91.3

54.17%

Not much to say here except “these are all good”

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

  • Nico Hoerner (CHC) vs. Rich Hill [GRADE: B+]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

8-17

.471

.498

.294

86.5

31.2%

Rich Hill is 247 years old. On a personal level I love that this dude is still grinding and on many levels hope this play fails, but the reality is Nico’s numbers look good and Hill is 247 years old. He ain’t a power guy, so more H+R+R and a HR lotto.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R (0.7u), HR (0.2u)

  • Victor Caratini (HOU) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez [GRADE: B+]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

5-15

.333

.491

.533

100.8

90.9%

Pickin’ on E-Rod is never a bad thing.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.7u), HR (0.25u)

That’s all for today. Let’s go get some GREEN!

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