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September 7, 2025

Sho Me the Way

First NFL Sunday means a tumbleweed might roll thru a baseball field today and nobody will notice, but we gots ourselves some plays to attack!

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First NFL Sunday means a tumbleweed might roll thru a baseball field today and nobody will notice, but we gots ourselves some plays to attack!

Let’s get into the plays for Sunday, September 7th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

  • Shohei Ohtani (LAD) vs. Tomoyuki Sugano [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

10-31

.323

.420

.452

101.6

78.26%

Gaudy numbers across the board.

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1.0u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

  • Christian Walker (HOU) vs. Patrick Corbin [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

7-13

.538

.497

.231

95.2

50%

L60 numbers above, but really like this play. Corbin has been terrible lately and Walker also has a .500 BvP against him. All the planets are aligned.

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1.0u), HR (0.2-0.3u)


OK friends … this is the part of the email where we move on to the PREMIUM plays. So here comes THE DREADED PAYWALL!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

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